Max Schuemann's home run prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, going 0-10-0 with a perfect 0.0% over rate in his last 10 games. The Oakland utility infielder has averaged exactly zero home runs against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential that translates to +90.9% ROI on unders. This represents a clear lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Max Schuemann's complete absence of power over this 10-game stretch reflects both his role and skill set as a utility infielder for the rebuilding Athletics. The 0-for-10 over record isn't just bad luck—it's indicative of a player whose offensive profile simply doesn't include consistent home run production. Schuemann's contact-oriented approach and modest exit velocity metrics suggest this trend has staying power rather than being due for regression. The Athletics' offensive environment, combined with Schuemann's likely usage in lower-leverage situations and potential platoon role, creates structural headwinds for power production. While any player can theoretically connect for a home run on any given swing, Schuemann's profile suggests the 0.5 line consistently overestimates his power ceiling. The perfect under record over 10 games isn't sustainable indefinitely, but the underlying metrics indicate this trend has more room to run than most. The biggest risk is a fluky cheapie or wind-aided shot, but Schuemann's batted ball profile makes even those scenarios unlikely.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Schuemann's complete power drought over 10 games reflects his true skill level rather than variance, making the under a solid play when the line sits at 0.5. The ideal conditions are day games in pitcher-friendly parks or when facing quality pitching. The main risk is regression to his career norms, but even those suggest minimal home run upside for a utility player on a rebuilding team.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Max Schuemann has gone 0-10-0 on his home runs over/under in his last 10 games, posting a perfect 0.0% over rate. This translates to a -100.0% ROI for over bettors and +90.9% ROI for under bettors across the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under on Max Schuemann's home runs prop. His 0-10-0 record reflects his true power limitations as a utility infielder, not bad luck. The 0.5 line consistently overestimates his home run ceiling given his contact-oriented profile.
What's Max Schuemann's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Max Schuemann has averaged exactly 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games against a typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This perfect alignment with the under demonstrates how the market may be overvaluing his power potential.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Max Schuemann home run unders in day games at pitcher-friendly venues or against quality starting pitching. His utility role and contact profile make him least likely to connect for power in challenging offensive environments.