Max Schuemann's hits prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity, with just a 35.0% over rate across 20 games and a -0.1 average differential below the standard line. The under has delivered +24.1% ROI while overs have hemorrhaged -33.2%, making this a clear lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
Schuemann's road struggles stem from the fundamental challenges facing a utility infielder in hostile environments. His 0.85 hits per away game average consistently falls short of the 0.95 line, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his reduced production away from Oakland. The -33.2% ROI on overs indicates systematic overvaluation, while the +24.1% under ROI demonstrates consistent value. His current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, though the equal four-game streaks in both directions show some volatility. The key driver appears to be Schuemann's role as a bottom-of-the-order hitter who faces tougher pitching matchups on the road, combined with less favorable hitting environments. With no platoon advantages or situational factors working in his favor, the trend reflects genuine skill-based limitations rather than random variance. The 65% under rate over 20 games provides sufficient sample size to establish reliability, and the consistency of the negative differential suggests this edge should persist throughout the season.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Schuemann's road hit props offer steady value with a 65% under rate and positive ROI, driven by his struggles as a utility player in away environments. Target this when the line sits at 0.5 or 1.5 hits, particularly against quality starting pitching. The main risk is positive regression given his overall MLB-level talent, but the consistent -0.1 differential suggests oddsmakers remain slow to adjust.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Hits prop record away games?
Max Schuemann has gone 7-13-0 over/under on his hits prop in away games, hitting the over just 35.0% of the time across 20 games from April through August 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Hits away games?
Bet under on Schuemann's hits in away games. The under has hit 65% of the time with +24.1% ROI, while overs have lost -33.2%. His 0.85 average is consistently below typical lines.
What's Max Schuemann's average Hits away games?
Schuemann averages 0.85 hits per away game, which runs 0.1 hits below the standard 0.95 line. This consistent negative differential has created reliable value on under bets throughout the 2024 season.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schuemann's hits under when the line is 0.5 or 1.5, especially against quality starting pitching on the road. His utility role and road struggles create the most reliable betting opportunities in away environments.