Max Schuemann's hits prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 30.8% overs across 39 games, going 12-27 against the line. His 0.72 average sits 0.4 hits below the typical 1.14 line, delivering +32.2% ROI on unders. This is a strong fade candidate.
Expert Analysis
Schuemann's hitting struggles create a sustainable edge for under bettors, with his 0.72 hits per game sitting well below market expectations. The 30.8% over rate across 39 games isn't a small sample fluke—it reflects genuine offensive limitations from a utility infielder whose primary value comes from defensive versatility rather than bat-to-ball skills. The current five-game under streak extends what has been consistent underperformance, with his longest over streak reaching just three games compared to an eight-game under run. This disparity suggests books haven't fully adjusted to Schuemann's limited offensive ceiling. The -0.4 differential between his average and the line represents significant value, especially considering he's maintaining regular playing time despite the hitting struggles. His role as a glove-first player means Oakland prioritizes his defense over offensive production, reducing pressure to manufacture hits. The 32.2% ROI on unders demonstrates this isn't just a statistical quirk but a genuine market inefficiency. Without meaningful splits data to suggest situational improvement, the consistency of his underperformance across the full season strengthens the case for continued under betting.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Schuemann's 0.72 hits per game creates substantial value against the typical 1.14 line, supported by a dominant 27-12 under record and +32.2% ROI. His utility role prioritizes defense over offense, making hitting consistency unlikely. Ideal conditions exist in any matchup where the line stays at 1+ hits. Main risk is random variance over short samples, but the season-long data strongly supports continued under betting.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Max Schuemann's Hits prop record all games?
Max Schuemann's hits prop record stands at 12-27-0 over/under across 39 games, hitting the over just 30.8% of the time. This represents one of the most lopsided under trends among regular players, with 27 unders significantly outpacing 12 overs throughout the 2024 season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Max Schuemann Hits all games?
Bet under on Max Schuemann's hits props with high confidence. His 0.72 average sits 0.4 hits below the typical 1.14 line, creating substantial value. The 27-12 under record and +32.2% ROI on unders make this a premium fade opportunity.
What's Max Schuemann's average Hits all games?
Max Schuemann averages 0.72 hits per game compared to the standard 1.14 line, creating a significant -0.4 differential. This gap represents genuine value for under bettors, as his actual production consistently falls short of market expectations set by sportsbooks.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Schuemann's hits unders when the line is set at 1.0 or higher, which creates maximum value given his 0.72 average. His utility role and defense-first profile make him a consistent under play regardless of opponent or venue.