Overall Home Runs: 14-89-0 O/U
13.6%
Over Rate
0.14
Avg HR
0.51
Avg Line
-0.4
Avg vs Line
-74.0%
Over ROI
103
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 14-89 | 13.6% | 0.51 | 0.14 | -74.0% |
| Away Games | 9-38 | 19.1% | 0.5 | 0.19 | -63.4% |
| High Total Games | 0-11 | 0.0% | 0.5 | — | -100.0% |
| Home Games | 5-51 | 8.9% | 0.52 | 0.09 | -83.0% |
| Last 10 Games | 1-9 | 10.0% | 0.5 | 0.1 | -80.9% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
8.9% Over
Away
19.1% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
10.0% Over
Other Matt Chapman Props
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View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Matt Chapman's overall Home Runs prop record?
Matt Chapman is 14-89 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (13.6% over rate).
When does Matt Chapman go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Matt Chapman's best Home Runs situation is Away Games, where they hit the over 19.1% of the time.
What's Matt Chapman's average Home Runs per game?
Matt Chapman averages 0.14 HR per game vs an average line of 0.51.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
High Total Games is Matt Chapman's worst Home Runs situation at just 0.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 103 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.