Masyn Winn has been a total bases under machine over his last 10 games, going 2-8 O/U with just a 20.0% over rate. The Cardinals shortstop is averaging 2.2 total bases against lines typically set at 3.7, creating a massive -1.5 differential that screams value on the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of a hitter struggling to generate extra-base production. Winn's 2.2 total bases average represents a significant gap below market expectations, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his recent power drought. This isn't just bad luck—averaging 1.5 bases below the line over 10 games indicates a fundamental shift in his offensive approach or effectiveness. The Cardinals' late-season context matters here, as teams often rest veterans and experiment with lineups, potentially affecting protection and opportunities for young players like Winn. His longest under streak of seven games demonstrates consistency in this downward trend, while his longest over streak was just two games. The -61.8% ROI on overs versus +52.7% on unders shows the market has been slow to adjust. Without additional context on opposing pitching or ballpark factors, the raw production numbers suggest Winn is either dealing with an undisclosed issue, facing tougher competition, or simply experiencing a cold streak that books haven't properly priced in. The persistence of this trend across 10 games provides enough sample size to identify a legitimate edge.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Winn's consistent failure to reach inflated total bases lines creates clear value on the under side. The 1.5-base differential between his average and typical lines is too significant to ignore, especially with the Cardinals potentially managing young players differently in meaningless late-season games. Primary risk is regression to his season norms, but the trend strength suggests continued value until books adjust pricing downward.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Masyn Winn's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Masyn Winn has gone 2-8 O/U on total bases props in his last 10 games, hitting just 20% of overs. He's averaging 2.2 total bases against lines typically set around 3.7, creating a significant 1.5-base deficit that has produced strong under value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Masyn Winn Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the under on Masyn Winn's total bases props. His 2.2 average against 3.7 lines creates clear value, supported by an 80% under rate and +52.7% ROI. The trend shows consistency with a seven-game under streak demonstrating reliable patterns.
What's Masyn Winn's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Masyn Winn is averaging 2.2 total bases over his last 10 games compared to typical lines around 3.7. This 1.5-base differential represents a massive gap that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted or Winn is experiencing a significant power drought.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Masyn Winn total bases unders when lines remain at 3.5 or higher, especially in late-season games where the Cardinals may limit aggressive baserunning. His current form suggests books haven't properly adjusted pricing to reflect his recent offensive struggles.