Overall Home Runs: 6-42-0 O/U
12.5%
Over Rate
0.12
Avg HR
0.52
Avg Line
-0.4
Avg vs Line
-76.1%
Over ROI
48
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-42 | 12.5% | 0.52 | 0.12 | -76.1% |
| Away Games | 2-23 | 8.0% | 0.54 | 0.08 | -84.7% |
| Home Games | 4-19 | 17.4% | 0.5 | 0.17 | -66.8% |
| Last 10 Games | 1-9 | 10.0% | 0.5 | 0.1 | -80.9% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
17.4% Over
Away
8.0% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
10.0% Over
Other Luke Raley Props
Seattle Mariners Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Luke Raley's overall Home Runs prop record?
Luke Raley is 6-42 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (12.5% over rate).
When does Luke Raley go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Luke Raley's best Home Runs situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 17.4% of the time.
What's Luke Raley's average Home Runs per game?
Luke Raley averages 0.12 HR per game vs an average line of 0.52.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Away Games is Luke Raley's worst Home Runs situation at just 8.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 48 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.