Kyren Paris has delivered the most reliable under trend in baseball, going 0-10 on Total Bases overs with an average of just 0.3 bases versus a 2.5 line. This represents a staggering -2.2 differential per game with perfect under consistency.
Expert Analysis
The Kyren Paris Total Bases under represents one of the most extreme statistical anomalies in current baseball props. Averaging just 0.3 total bases against a 2.5 line creates a massive -2.2 differential that suggests either severe overvaluation by oddsmakers or a player in complete offensive collapse. Paris appears to be struggling with fundamental contact issues, as reaching even one total base per game would require basic hitting competency. The 0.0% over rate across 10 games indicates this isn't random variance but systematic failure at the plate. While regression to the mean is a betting axiom, Paris would need to nearly triple his current production just to approach the closing line. The -100% ROI on overs versus +90.9% on unders reflects the mathematical reality of this trend. However, bettors must consider that such extreme underperformance rarely sustains indefinitely, and even minimal improvement could dramatically shift these numbers. The sample size, while not enormous, provides enough data points to suggest genuine offensive struggles rather than small-sample noise.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Paris's 0.3 average creates such a massive cushion below the 2.5 line that even modest improvement likely keeps him under. The trend shows no signs of breaking, and the mathematical edge remains overwhelming. Primary risk is potential lineup changes or improved plate approach, but current form suggests continued struggles. Target this prop in favorable pitching matchups.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyren Paris's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Paris has gone 0-10 on Total Bases overs in his last 10 games, posting a perfect under record. He's averaging just 0.3 total bases per game against typical lines around 2.5, creating a -2.2 differential per contest.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyren Paris Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER with high confidence. Paris's 0.3 average provides a massive 2.2-base cushion below standard lines, and the perfect 10-game under streak shows no signs of breaking despite ample opportunity for regression.
What's Kyren Paris's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Paris is averaging 0.3 total bases over his last 10 games, compared to typical closing lines around 2.5. This creates a staggering -2.2 differential, meaning he's falling short by more than two full bases per game on average.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Paris Total Bases unders against quality pitching and in pitcher-friendly environments. The trend is so strong that even neutral conditions favor the under, but elite opposing starters provide additional insurance against potential breakout performances.