Kyren Paris presents one of the most extreme total bases trends in baseball, going 0-13 on overs with a devastating -2.0 average differential below the 2.35 line. This Angels infielder has averaged just 0.38 total bases per game across 13 contests, creating a historically reliable under opportunity with 90.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
The Kyren Paris total bases trend represents a perfect storm of limited opportunity and inflated expectations. Paris has managed just five total bases across 13 games, a microscopic 0.38 average that sits nearly two full bases below the typical 2.35 line. This isn't merely poor performance—it's systematic underproduction rooted in minimal playing time and situational usage. As a utility infielder, Paris often enters games in defensive substitution roles or pinch-hitting situations that naturally limit his at-bat opportunities. The Angels have deployed him strategically rather than as an everyday contributor, meaning he rarely accumulates the plate appearances necessary to reach even modest total base thresholds. The 13-game sample spans nearly nine months, suggesting this isn't a brief slump but rather a reflection of his role within the organization. Sportsbooks appear to be pricing Paris based on positional averages rather than his specific usage patterns, creating a persistent market inefficiency. The complete absence of overs indicates books haven't adequately adjusted to his limited offensive ceiling, particularly when factoring in his .000 slugging percentage equivalent across this stretch. This trend shows remarkable consistency because it's driven by role rather than form.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The Kyren Paris total bases under represents exceptional value driven by systematic role limitations rather than temporary struggles. Books consistently overprice his props relative to actual usage patterns, creating a 90.9% ROI edge. Target this play when Paris is confirmed in the lineup, particularly in road games where defensive substitutions are more common. The primary risk is increased playing time, but his current role suggests continued underproduction.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-05 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyren Paris's Total Bases prop record all games?
Kyren Paris holds a perfect 0-13 record on total bases overs across all games, with zero successful overs in 13 opportunities. He's averaged just 0.38 total bases per game against a typical 2.35 line, creating a -2.0 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyren Paris Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Kyren Paris total bases with high confidence. His 0-13 over record and 90.9% under ROI represent exceptional value driven by limited playing time and systematic market mispricing of utility players.
What's Kyren Paris's average Total Bases all games?
Kyren Paris averages 0.38 total bases per game across 13 contests, sitting nearly two full bases below the standard 2.35 line. This creates a massive -2.0 differential that reflects his limited offensive opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kyren Paris total bases unders when he's confirmed in the starting lineup, especially in road games where defensive substitutions are common. Avoid if he's projected for increased playing time due to injuries.