Kyle Schwarber's hits prop has delivered consistent over value in his last 10 games, going 6-4 on overs with a 1.3 average against a 1.1 line. The +14.6% ROI on overs suggests meaningful edge, making this a lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
Schwarber's recent hits production reveals a player exceeding market expectations with notable consistency. His 1.3 average against the typical 1.1 line represents a 0.2 differential that translates to real betting value. The 60% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the +14.6% ROI indicates the overs are hitting at profitable odds. What makes this trend compelling is Schwarber's patient approach at the plate, which typically leads to more favorable counts and increased contact opportunities. His disciplined eye has historically correlated with higher hit totals when he's seeing the ball well. The recent five-game over streak followed by just one under suggests he's locked into a productive rhythm. However, the sample size remains limited, and Schwarber's power-first approach can sometimes lead to feast-or-famine performances. His tendency to work deep counts can result in either excellent hitting opportunities or strikeouts when timing is slightly off. The lack of available split data makes it harder to identify optimal spots, but his overall production suggests the market may be undervaluing his current form. Books appear slow to adjust to his recent consistency, creating a window of opportunity for sharp bettors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Schwarber's 1.3 average significantly outpacing the 1.1 line creates legitimate value, supported by strong ROI metrics. Target games where he faces right-handed pitching or in favorable ballparks that reward his patient approach. Main risk is regression to his typical power-over-contact profile, but current form suggests continued production.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 5.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyle Schwarber's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Schwarber went 6-4 on hits overs in his last 10 games, hitting 60% of over bets. He averaged 1.3 hits per game against the typical 1.1 line, showing consistent production above market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Schwarber Hits last 10 games?
Lean over on Schwarber's hits props. His 1.3 average significantly beats the 1.1 line with +14.6% ROI on overs. Current form and plate discipline suggest continued value despite modest 60% over rate.
What's Kyle Schwarber's average Hits last 10 games?
Schwarber averaged 1.3 hits over his last 10 games compared to the typical 1.1 line. This 0.2 differential represents meaningful value, as he's consistently exceeding market expectations with disciplined plate approach.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schwarber hits overs when he faces right-handed pitching or plays in hitter-friendly ballparks. His patient approach works best against pitchers who struggle with command, creating more favorable hitting counts and contact opportunities.