Kyle Harrison has delivered consistent strikeout value over his last 10 starts, hitting the over at a 60% clip with a +14.6% ROI. His 5.2 average beats the typical 4.5 line by 0.7 strikeouts per game. Lean over on Harrison's strikeout props when the line sits at 4.5 or lower.
Expert Analysis
Harrison's strikeout consistency stems from his improved command and deeper pitch counts as he's settled into the Giants rotation. The 5.2 strikeout average reflects a pitcher who's finding his groove at the major league level, with the ability to work deeper into games and accumulate punchouts. The current three-game over streak suggests Harrison has found a rhythm, particularly important for a young pitcher still establishing his identity. The +0.7 differential over the standard line indicates books may be slow to adjust to his recent form. However, the sample size remains modest at 10 games, and regression risk exists if Harrison faces tougher lineups or his command wavers. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but the overall trend suggests Harrison is outperforming market expectations. His strikeout rate appears sustainable given his stuff quality, though durability concerns typical of young pitchers could limit his upside in longer outings. The 60% hit rate provides solid value, especially when combined with the positive ROI on overs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Harrison's 5.2 strikeout average significantly outpaces the typical 4.5 line, creating consistent value for over bettors. The three-game over streak and 60% hit rate suggest sustainable performance rather than variance. Target overs when the line sits at 4.5 or below, but exercise caution if books adjust upward to 5.5+, where the edge diminishes considerably.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 4.5 | 7.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 5.5 | 11.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 4.5 | 6.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 5.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyle Harrison's Strikeouts prop record last 10 games?
Kyle Harrison has gone over his strikeouts prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% rate) with a 6-4-0 record. The overs have generated a +14.6% ROI while unders show a -23.6% return, indicating consistent value on the over side.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyle Harrison Strikeouts last 10 games?
Bet over on Kyle Harrison's strikeout props when the line is 4.5 or lower. His 5.2 average creates solid value at typical lines, and the current three-game over streak suggests he's found his rhythm in the Giants rotation.
What's Kyle Harrison's average Strikeouts last 10 games?
Kyle Harrison averages 5.2 strikeouts over his last 10 games compared to the typical 4.5 line. This +0.7 differential per game represents significant value, as he's consistently outperforming market expectations by nearly a full strikeout.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kyle Harrison strikeout overs when the line sits at 4.5 or below, particularly during his current hot streak. Avoid betting when books adjust the line to 5.5+, as this eliminates the mathematical edge his recent performance provides.