Kris Bryant's total bases props present a compelling under opportunity with just 9 overs in 39 games (23.1% rate). His 0.9 average sits 0.8 bases below the typical 1.73 line, creating consistent value for under bettors with +46.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of a hitter whose production consistently falls short of market expectations. Bryant's 0.9 total bases average represents a massive 46.2% gap below the standard 1.73 line, suggesting either persistent overvaluation by oddsmakers or a fundamental decline in his offensive capabilities. The 23.1% over rate across 39 games indicates this isn't random variance but a sustained pattern. His current four-game under streak pales compared to a remarkable 13-game under run, demonstrating the consistency of this trend. The -55.9% ROI on overs versus +46.9% on unders creates a stark contrast that sharp bettors should recognize. Bryant's move to Colorado was supposed to boost his offensive numbers due to Coors Field's hitter-friendly environment, yet even with that advantage, he's failing to reach modest total bases expectations. This could reflect age-related decline, injury concerns, or simply a player whose peak years are behind him. The persistence of this trend across different matchups and situations suggests fundamental factors rather than temporary slumps are driving the underperformance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Bryant's consistent failure to reach total bases expectations creates legitimate betting value, particularly given the significant sample size and persistent trend. The ideal approach involves targeting games where his line sits at 1.5 or higher, maximizing the gap between expectation and reality. The primary risk lies in potential positive regression or a hot streak breaking the pattern, but his underlying metrics suggest continued struggles.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-27 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-23 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Kris Bryant props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Bryant's Total Bases prop record all games?
Bryant's total bases record shows 9 overs and 30 unders across 39 games, translating to just a 23.1% over rate. This represents one of the most lopsided prop records in baseball, with unders hitting at a 76.9% clip.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Bryant Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Bryant's total bases props. His 0.9 average sits well below typical lines, and unders have generated +46.9% ROI compared to -55.9% losses on overs. The trend shows remarkable consistency across different situations.
What's Kris Bryant's average Total Bases all games?
Bryant averages 0.9 total bases per game, which falls 0.8 bases short of the standard 1.73 line. This 46.2% gap between his production and market expectations creates significant value for under bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bryant's total bases unders when his line is set at 1.5 or higher, maximizing the value gap. Avoid betting during potential hot streaks or after extended under runs when books might adjust lines lower.