Kris Bryant's hits props have been a goldmine for under bettors, cashing at an 80% clip over his last 10 games with a brutal 2-8-0 over/under record. The Rockies slugger is averaging just 0.9 hits against a 2.0 line, creating a massive -1.1 differential. This trend screams lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
Bryant's precipitous decline in hit production stems from multiple converging factors that suggest this isn't just bad luck. The 0.9 hits per game average represents a catastrophic 45% shortfall from the typical 2.0 line, indicating either the market hasn't adjusted to his diminished form or underlying issues are more severe than surface stats suggest. The five-game under streak demonstrates consistency in this poor performance, while the +52.7% ROI on unders shows clear market inefficiency. What's particularly concerning is Bryant's inability to string together even modest hitting performances—his longest over streak maxed out at just one game. This pattern suggests either nagging injury issues, mechanical problems, or simply the natural decline of an aging player who's struggled to adapt to Coors Field despite its hitter-friendly reputation. The lack of available splits data is itself telling, as it may indicate limited playing time or inconsistent lineup positioning. Given Bryant's track record and the Rockies' offensive struggles, this trend appears more structural than cyclical, making it a sustainable betting angle until the market properly adjusts the lines downward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Bryant's 0.9 hits per game against a 2.0 line creates exceptional value on the under, supported by an 80% hit rate and five consecutive unders. The ideal betting spot is when the line remains at 1.5 or higher, as Bryant has shown little ability to consistently reach even modest hit totals. The primary risk is positive regression—even struggling hitters can get hot—but the underlying performance metrics suggest this decline has staying power.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kris Bryant's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Kris Bryant has gone 2-8-0 over/under on his hits props in his last 10 games, meaning the under has cashed in 8 of 10 opportunities (80% hit rate). This represents one of the most lopsided trends in recent baseball betting, with unders generating a +52.7% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kris Bryant Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Kris Bryant's hits props. He's averaging just 0.9 hits per game against typical 2.0 lines, creating a 1.1-hit deficit. With five straight unders and an 80% success rate, the data strongly supports continued under betting until lines adjust significantly lower.
What's Kris Bryant's average Hits last 10 games?
Kris Bryant is averaging 0.9 hits per game over his last 10 contests, compared to the standard 2.0 line most books offer. This creates a massive -1.1 differential, meaning he's falling short by more than one full hit per game on average—a catastrophic shortfall for bettors taking the over.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kris Bryant hits unders when lines are set at 1.5 or higher, particularly in day games or against quality pitching. Avoid betting when he's facing weak bullpens late in games, as garbage-time hits can kill under bets. Road games may offer additional value given Coors Field's inflated expectations.