Korey Lee's away Total Bases props present a compelling under opportunity, hitting just 28.6% of overs across 28 games with a massive -0.6 differential versus the typical line. The White Sox catcher averages only 1.29 total bases on the road, generating a strong 36.4% ROI for under bettors.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a clear picture of a player whose road struggles create consistent betting value on the under. Lee's 1.29 average total bases away from home falls significantly short of the standard 1.93 line, creating a substantial gap that books haven't adequately adjusted for. This isn't merely a small sample anomaly — 28 games provides sufficient data to identify a legitimate pattern. The White Sox offense has been historically poor in 2024, and catchers typically see reduced offensive output due to the physical demands of their position, especially on the road where travel fatigue compounds the issue. Lee's 8-20 over/under record represents one of the more lopsided trends in baseball props this season. The persistence of this differential suggests either books are slow to adjust Lee's lines or they're accounting for factors that haven't materialized in actual performance. His longest under streak of five games indicates the consistency of this pattern, while even his modest over streaks max out at three games. The -45.5% ROI on overs serves as a stark warning against betting the over, while the 36.4% under ROI demonstrates the profitability of fading Lee's total bases in road games.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The data overwhelmingly supports betting under on Korey Lee's Total Bases props in away games, backed by a 71.4% hit rate and strong ROI. The ideal conditions are any road game where the line sits around 1.5-2.0 total bases. The main risk is potential lineup changes or Lee getting hot during a short stretch, but the sample size and consistency make this a premium fade opportunity.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-19 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Korey Lee props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Korey Lee's Total Bases prop record away games?
Korey Lee's Total Bases prop record in away games stands at 8-20-0 over/under, hitting the over just 28.6% of the time. This represents one of the most lopsided under trends among regular MLB players this season.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Korey Lee Total Bases away games?
You should bet under on Korey Lee's Total Bases in away games. The 71.4% under hit rate and 36.4% ROI make this a high-confidence fade, especially when lines are set around 1.5-2.0 total bases.
What's Korey Lee's average Total Bases away games?
Korey Lee averages 1.29 total bases in away games, which falls 0.64 bases short of the typical 1.93 line. This significant gap creates consistent value for under bettors across his road appearances.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Korey Lee's Total Bases under is any away game where he's starting behind the plate. Road games provide the strongest edge, particularly when books set his line at 1.5 or higher total bases.