Jung Hoo Lee's Total Bases prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 32.0% overs across 25 games. His 1.2 average sits 0.3 bases below the typical 1.5 line, generating strong 29.8% ROI on unders. The data strongly favors betting under Lee's Total Bases.
Expert Analysis
Jung Hoo Lee's Total Bases struggles stem from his contact-heavy approach that prioritizes getting on base over driving for extra bases. His 1.2 average against a 1.5 line reveals a fundamental mismatch between his skill set and the market's expectations. The 12-game under streak demonstrates this isn't random variance but a systematic issue with his power production. Lee's spray chart likely shows heavy ground ball tendencies and opposite-field contact that rarely translates to doubles or triples. His 68.0% under rate suggests the market hasn't fully adjusted to his singles-heavy profile, creating persistent value on the under. The -38.9% ROI on overs indicates sharp money has already identified this edge, while recreational bettors continue inflating the line based on his prospect pedigree. With no meaningful split variations showing dramatic improvement, Lee's Total Bases ceiling appears capped by his approach. The consistency of this trend across 25 games provides confidence that regression toward 1.5 bases per game is unlikely without a fundamental swing change.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Lee's systematic inability to reach 1.5 Total Bases creates a sustainable edge that the market hasn't fully corrected. The 68.0% under rate combined with 29.8% ROI demonstrates clear value. Target this prop in all game situations, especially when the line sits at 1.5. The main risk is a sudden power surge, but his contact profile suggests this trend should persist throughout the season.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-08 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-06 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-05 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-01 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-21 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jung Hoo Lee's Total Bases prop record all games?
Jung Hoo Lee has gone under his Total Bases prop in 17 of 25 games (68.0%) with an 8-17-0 over/under record. He's averaging just 1.2 Total Bases per game against the typical 1.5 line, creating a significant gap.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jung Hoo Lee Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Jung Hoo Lee's Total Bases props. His 68.0% under rate and 29.8% ROI on unders creates clear value. The market hasn't adjusted to his singles-heavy approach that consistently falls short of 1.5 bases.
What's Jung Hoo Lee's average Total Bases all games?
Jung Hoo Lee averages 1.2 Total Bases per game, sitting 0.3 bases below the standard 1.5 line. This consistent deficit has produced unders in 17 of his 25 games, demonstrating a clear mismatch between his production and market expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jung Hoo Lee's Total Bases unders in all game situations when the line is set at 1.5. His contact-heavy approach creates consistent value regardless of opponent or venue, with no splits showing meaningful improvement in power production.