Jordan Westburg's Total Bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors, going just 1-9 over his last 10 games with a brutal 10% over rate. Averaging only 1.5 total bases against a 4.0 line creates a massive -2.5 differential that screams systematic underperformance.
Expert Analysis
Westburg's Total Bases collapse represents one of the most extreme prop trends in recent memory, with his 1.5 average sitting a staggering 62.5% below the typical 4.0 line. This isn't variance—it's systematic offensive regression. The six-game under streak indicates books have been slow to adjust, creating persistent value. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story of a player whose power output has completely evaporated. While 10 games isn't a massive sample, the consistency is remarkable: only one over in the entire stretch suggests either injury concerns, mechanical issues, or simple bad form that oddsmakers haven't fully recognized. The 71.8% ROI on unders demonstrates how profitable this fade has been. However, regression is always possible, and books may eventually adjust lines lower. The lack of split data prevents deeper context, but the raw numbers suggest Westburg is either playing through something or has hit a prolonged cold spell that creates clear betting value.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Westburg's Total Bases props offer exceptional under value with his 1.5 average sitting 2.5 bases below typical lines. The six-game under streak and 90% under rate indicate systematic issues that books haven't fully adjusted for. Main risk is eventual regression or line corrections, but until Westburg shows signs of power returning, the under remains the sharp play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 2.5 | 6.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 4.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jordan Westburg's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Westburg has gone 1-9 on Total Bases overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10% of over bets. He's averaging only 1.5 total bases against typical 4.0 lines, creating a massive -2.5 differential that favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jordan Westburg Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the under with confidence. Westburg's 90% under rate and six-game under streak indicate systematic offensive struggles that books haven't fully adjusted for. The +71.8% ROI on unders shows this has been highly profitable.
What's Jordan Westburg's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Westburg is averaging just 1.5 total bases over his last 10 games, sitting 2.5 bases below the typical 4.0 line. This 62.5% shortfall represents one of the most extreme negative differentials in recent prop betting.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Westburg Total Bases unders when lines remain at 3.5 or higher. The best opportunities come when books haven't adjusted for his current form, particularly on longer slates where his struggles get overlooked.