Jonathan India's home run production in high total games presents one of the most lopsided betting edges in baseball. With just one over in 14 attempts (7.1% success rate) and averaging 0.07 homers against a 0.5 line, the under has delivered exceptional value with +77.3% ROI.
Expert Analysis
India's complete inability to capitalize on high-scoring environments reveals a fundamental disconnect between game flow and his power output. While high total games typically feature favorable hitting conditions—wind, ballpark factors, or weak pitching—India has managed just one home run across 14 such contests. This isn't merely bad luck; it reflects his profile as a contact-oriented second baseman who rarely elevates the ball for power. His 0.07 average in these spots sits a staggering 0.43 runs below the standard 0.5 line, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his limitations. The 13-game under streak demonstrates remarkable consistency in failing to reach the modest benchmark. India's approach doesn't change dramatically based on game script—he remains focused on getting on base rather than swinging for the fences when runs are plentiful. This creates a persistent edge where the betting market overvalues his power potential in high-scoring affairs. The sample size of 14 games provides sufficient evidence of a legitimate trend rather than random variance.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. India's complete power drought in high total games represents a market inefficiency that shows no signs of correcting. The 7.1% over rate and massive -0.43 differential to the line create exceptional under value. Target this prop when totals exceed 9.5 runs, as India's contact-heavy approach remains unchanged regardless of scoring environment. Primary risk is a random cheap home run, but the trend's persistence suggests sustainable edge.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-04-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jonathan India's Home Runs prop record high total games?
India is 1-13-0 over/under on home runs in high total games, with just one homer across 14 contests for a 7.1% over rate. His longest under streak reached 13 games, demonstrating remarkable consistency in failing to clear the 0.5 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jonathan India Home Runs high total games?
Bet the UNDER with high confidence. India's 7.1% over rate and 0.07 average versus a 0.5 line creates massive value on the under side. The +77.3% ROI on unders reflects a clear market inefficiency you should exploit.
What's Jonathan India's average Home Runs high total games?
India averages 0.07 home runs in high total games, sitting 0.43 runs below the standard 0.5 line. This massive differential represents one of the largest gaps between actual performance and betting expectations in baseball props.
How reliable is this trend?
Target India's home run unders when game totals exceed 9.5 runs, as these high-scoring environments historically expose his power limitations. His contact-heavy approach remains unchanged regardless of favorable conditions, creating consistent under value.