James Outman has gone 0-10-0 on home run overs in his last 10 games, producing zero home runs against a 0.6 average line. This represents a complete power drought for the Dodgers outfielder, generating -100% ROI on overs and +90.9% on unders. The trend strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
James Outman's complete absence of home runs over this 10-game stretch represents more than just bad luck—it signals a fundamental shift in his offensive profile. The 0.6 line suggests oddsmakers expected roughly one home run every 1.67 games, yet Outman has failed to clear the fence even once. This level of power outage typically stems from mechanical issues, pitch recognition problems, or opposing teams exploiting specific weaknesses in his swing. The -0.6 differential between his actual production and the betting line is massive in baseball terms, where even elite sluggers experience extended cold streaks. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency—no brief flashes of power to suggest imminent regression. The sample size of 10 games provides meaningful insight into current form while avoiding the noise of single-game variance. Outman's complete inability to generate extra-base power during this period suggests either a timing issue with his swing or teams successfully attacking him with specific pitch sequences. The 90.9% ROI on unders reflects the market's slow adjustment to his current struggles, creating continued value for under bettors until his approach changes or the lines drop significantly.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Outman's complete power drought over 10 games creates clear value on the under, especially with lines still set around 0.6. The consistency of this trend suggests underlying mechanical or approach issues rather than simple variance. Primary risk is regression to career norms, but current form indicates continued struggles until he makes adjustments.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is James Outman's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
James Outman is 0-10-0 on home run overs in his last 10 games, hitting zero home runs total. Against an average line of 0.6, he's averaging 0.0 home runs per game, creating a perfect under record with -100% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on James Outman Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet under on James Outman's home runs. His complete power drought over 10 games (0 home runs) against 0.6 lines creates clear value, with 90.9% ROI on unders reflecting his current offensive struggles and mechanical issues.
What's James Outman's average Home Runs last 10 games?
James Outman is averaging 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games compared to a 0.6 average line. This -0.6 differential represents a massive gap between expected production and actual results, indicating severe power struggles.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet James Outman home run unders when lines remain around 0.5-0.6 despite his current drought. His mechanical issues and complete power absence over 10 games suggest continued value until lines adjust significantly lower or he shows swing improvements.