Ha-Seong Kim's total bases prop in away games presents a compelling under opportunity with just 27.8% overs hitting across 36 games. Kim averages only 1.44 total bases against a typical 2.22 line, creating a significant -0.8 differential that has generated +37.9% ROI on unders.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a systematic underperformance by Ha-Seong Kim in road environments that extends well beyond normal variance. His 1.44 average total bases away from Petco Park falls dramatically short of standard betting lines, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his road struggles. This 0.8 base differential represents substantial value, particularly given the 36-game sample size spanning nearly a full season. Kim's contact-oriented approach appears less effective in unfamiliar ballparks, where timing and comfort at the plate become crucial factors. The 15-game under streak within this dataset demonstrates the persistence of these road struggles, while his brief 3-game over streak represents the exception rather than the rule. What makes this trend particularly reliable is Kim's role as a utility player who often faces varied lineups and pitching staffs on the road, limiting his ability to establish rhythm. The -47.0% ROI on overs serves as a warning against contrarian thinking here. Road environments consistently neutralize Kim's limited power upside while exposing his tendency toward weak contact. Unlike power hitters who can overcome poor timing with one swing, Kim's production depends heavily on precision and familiarity with conditions.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. The 0.8 base differential between Kim's 1.44 road average and typical lines creates exceptional value that oddsmakers haven't corrected. Target this play when Kim faces quality road pitching or in pitcher-friendly ballparks where his contact approach becomes even less effective. The primary risk is a rare multi-hit game, but the 72.2% under rate suggests these are outliers rather than threats to the overall strategy.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Total Bases prop record away games?
Ha-Seong Kim has gone over his total bases prop in just 10 of 36 away games (27.8% rate) from September 2023 through August 2024, with 26 unders creating a strong pattern of road underperformance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Total Bases away games?
Bet the under on Ha-Seong Kim's total bases in away games. His 1.44 road average creates significant value against typical 2+ lines, with unders hitting 72.2% of the time and generating +37.9% ROI.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Total Bases away games?
Ha-Seong Kim averages 1.44 total bases in away games compared to typical betting lines around 2.22, creating a substantial -0.8 differential that consistently provides value on under bets across road matchups.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kim's total bases unders in away games against quality pitching staffs or in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His contact-dependent approach becomes less effective on the road, particularly when facing unfamiliar pitching with good command.