Ha-Seong Kim's total bases props present an exceptional under opportunity with just 24.7% overs across 77 games. His 1.14 average falls a full base below typical 2.18 lines, generating +43.8% ROI on unders. This represents one of the most reliable fade opportunities in MLB props.
Expert Analysis
Kim's total bases struggles stem from his contact-oriented approach that prioritizes getting on base over extra-base power. His 1.14 average versus 2.18 lines reveals a fundamental disconnect between market perception and reality. The Korean infielder's spray-chart approach generates plenty of singles but lacks the pull-side authority needed to consistently reach the 2+ total bases threshold that books typically set. His 19-58 over/under record isn't just bad luck—it reflects a player whose skill set doesn't align with total bases betting markets. The -1.0 differential between his average and typical lines suggests books haven't adequately adjusted for Kim's singles-heavy profile. With an 11-game under streak representing his longest cold spell, the data shows this isn't a temporary slump but a consistent pattern. The absence of meaningful platoon splits or situational variance indicates this edge exists regardless of matchup context. Books continue overestimating Kim's power output, creating sustainable value for under bettors who recognize his true offensive identity as a table-setter rather than run producer.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Kim's 24.7% over rate across 77 games represents exceptional systematic value that books haven't corrected. His contact-first approach consistently falls short of inflated total bases lines, making this one of the most reliable fades in baseball. The primary risk is an unexpected power surge, but his track record suggests betting unders on Kim's total bases props offers premium long-term value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 4.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Total Bases prop record all games?
Kim's total bases record across all games is 19-58-0 over/under, hitting just 24.7% overs. This represents one of the worst over rates among qualified players, with unders cashing at a 75.3% clip over 77 games.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Total Bases all games?
Bet under on Kim's total bases props with high confidence. His 24.7% over rate and +43.8% ROI on unders across 77 games represents exceptional value that books haven't adjusted for properly.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Total Bases all games?
Kim averages 1.14 total bases per game compared to typical lines around 2.18, creating a massive -1.0 differential. This gap represents one of the largest disconnects between player performance and market expectations in MLB props.
How reliable is this trend?
Kim's total bases unders offer value in virtually all situations, as no meaningful splits exist to suggest variance. The best approach is consistent under betting regardless of matchup, as his contact-oriented profile consistently underperforms inflated lines.