Ha-Seong Kim's hits prop shows clear value on the under in away games, going over just 41.7% of the time across 36 games. Kim averages 0.86 hits against a typical 1.28 line, creating a significant -0.4 differential that has generated +11.4% ROI betting unders.
Expert Analysis
Ha-Seong Kim's road struggles with hits props stem from a combination of environmental factors and approach adjustments that consistently suppress his contact rate away from Petco Park. The 0.86 hits average represents a meaningful departure from what oddsmakers typically price at 1.28, suggesting the market hasn't fully adjusted to Kim's road performance patterns. This 15-21 under record isn't random variance—it reflects genuine skill-environment interaction where Kim's contact-oriented approach faces different challenges in unfamiliar ballparks. The -20.4% ROI on overs indicates consistent market overvaluation, while the +11.4% under ROI demonstrates exploitable edge. Kim's recent streak of one over doesn't negate the broader pattern, especially given his longest under streak reached four games compared to five overs. The consistency of this trend across a substantial 36-game sample suggests structural factors rather than temporary slump. Road hitting environments, different mound backgrounds, and travel fatigue likely contribute to reduced barrel contact and timing issues that manifest in lower hit totals. Without dramatic changes to Kim's approach or the betting market's pricing methodology, this under bias should persist.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Ha-Seong Kim's hits props offer consistent under value in away games, with the 0.86 average creating meaningful separation from typical 1.28 lines. Target spots where the line sits at 1.5 or higher for maximum edge. Main risk involves Kim's recent over streak potentially indicating short-term adjustment, but the 36-game sample provides strong foundation for continued under performance on the road.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-28 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ha-Seong Kim's Hits prop record away games?
Ha-Seong Kim's hits prop record in away games stands at 15-21, meaning he's gone over the line just 41.7% of the time across 36 games. This under-heavy performance has created consistent betting value for sharp bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Ha-Seong Kim Hits away games?
Bet under on Ha-Seong Kim's hits props in away games. The data strongly supports this approach with +11.4% ROI on unders compared to -20.4% losses on overs. Target lines at 1.5 or higher for maximum value.
What's Ha-Seong Kim's average Hits away games?
Ha-Seong Kim averages 0.86 hits in away games, which sits well below the typical betting line of 1.28. This -0.4 differential represents significant value and explains why unders have been profitable long-term.
How reliable is this trend?
The best time to bet Ha-Seong Kim hits unders is during away games when the line is set at 1.5 or higher. Road environments consistently challenge his timing and contact rate, making these spots ideal for under value.