Gleyber Torres has been an absolute disaster for total bases overs, hitting just 10.0% (1-9) while averaging 1.2 bases against a 3.3 line. This -2.1 differential represents one of the season's most reliable under trends. Lean Under with high conviction.
Expert Analysis
Gleyber Torres's total bases collapse represents a systematic offensive breakdown rather than simple variance. Averaging just 1.2 bases against a 3.3 line creates a staggering -2.1 differential that screams market inefficiency. The 10.0% over rate across 10 games isn't random - it's a player whose power has completely evaporated. Torres is currently mired in a six-game under streak, suggesting this isn't a temporary slump but a fundamental shift in his offensive profile. The -80.9% ROI on overs tells the story of a market that hasn't adjusted to Torres's diminished production. When a player consistently fails to reach even 40% of their expected output, you're looking at either injury, mechanical issues, or a player whose skills have genuinely declined. The fact that Torres managed just one over in 10 games indicates this trend has serious staying power. Most concerning for over bettors is the complete absence of any positive variance - even struggling players typically stumble into occasional big games, but Torres has been remarkably consistent in his futility. The market appears slow to recognize just how far Torres has fallen, creating a sustained edge for under bettors who recognize that 1.2 bases per game isn't sustainable upward from current levels.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Torres's complete offensive collapse creates a rare market inefficiency where the line hasn't caught up to reality. The 1.2 average against 3.3 lines represents systematic failure, not variance. Ideal conditions are any game where the line sits above 2.5. Main risk is a sudden offensive awakening, but six straight unders suggest this is Torres's new baseline rather than a temporary funk.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gleyber Torres's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Torres has gone 1-9 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of over bets. He's averaging only 1.2 total bases per game against lines typically set around 3.3, creating a massive -2.1 differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gleyber Torres Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Torres is averaging 1.2 bases against 3.3 lines, representing one of the season's most reliable under trends. His current six-game under streak suggests this is his new offensive baseline, not temporary variance.
What's Gleyber Torres's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Torres is averaging just 1.2 total bases over his last 10 games, compared to typical lines around 3.3. This -2.1 differential represents a massive underperformance that the market hasn't fully recognized, creating significant value on under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Torres unders when lines are set above 2.5 total bases, particularly in day games or against quality pitching. His offensive collapse appears systematic rather than situational, making any elevated line an opportunity for under value.