Gleyber Torres has been ice-cold from a power perspective, going under his home run prop in 9 of 10 games with just 0.1 homers per game against a 0.5 line. The under has delivered a massive 71.8% ROI while overs hemorrhage at -80.9%. This is a strong lean under situation.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a stark story about Torres' recent power outage. Averaging just 0.1 home runs per game against a typical 0.5 line creates a massive -0.4 differential that's unsustainable for over bettors. The 10% over rate signals either a fundamental shift in Torres' approach or an extended cold streak that books haven't fully adjusted for. Six consecutive unders suggest this isn't random variance but a legitimate trend driven by mechanical issues or pitch recognition problems. Torres has historically been streaky with power, capable of both hot stretches and prolonged droughts. The sample size of 10 games spanning over a month indicates this isn't just a brief slump. Late-season factors like fatigue, adjusted opposing scouting, or lineup protection changes could be suppressing his power numbers. The extreme ROI differential (71.8% under vs -80.9% over) suggests the market has been slow to adjust, creating continued value on unders. However, regression remains possible if Torres rediscovers his timing, making this trend vulnerable to sudden reversal. The lack of even a modest over streak within this sample reinforces the depth of his current power struggles.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Torres' power has completely vanished over this 10-game stretch, creating a massive edge for under bettors at 71.8% ROI. The 0.4 home run deficit per game against the line is enormous in baseball terms. While regression is always possible, the consistency of this trend and six-game under streak suggest continued value until Torres shows signs of breaking out of this extended power drought.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Gleyber Torres's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Torres has gone 1-9-0 over/under on his home run props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just once while going under nine times. This represents a dismal 10% over rate with zero pushes.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gleyber Torres Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Torres is averaging just 0.1 home runs per game against typical 0.5 lines, creating massive value for under bettors who have enjoyed 71.8% ROI during this stretch.
What's Gleyber Torres's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Torres is averaging just 0.1 home runs per game over his last 10 contests, creating a -0.4 differential against the standard 0.5 line. He's hitting 80% fewer home runs than books expect.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Torres home run unders when he's in extended cold streaks like this current six-game under run. Late-season games often provide additional value as fatigue and adjusted scouting impact power numbers.