Overall Home Runs: 18-120-0 O/U
13.0%
Over Rate
0.15
Avg HR
0.51
Avg Line
-0.4
Avg vs Line
-75.1%
Over ROI
138
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 18-120 | 13.0% | 0.51 | 0.15 | -75.1% |
| Away Games | 11-64 | 14.7% | 0.5 | 0.17 | -72.0% |
| As Favorite | 1-9 | 10.0% | 0.5 | 0.1 | -80.9% |
| High Total Games | 1-11 | 8.3% | 0.5 | 0.08 | -84.1% |
| Home Games | 7-56 | 11.1% | 0.52 | 0.13 | -78.8% |
| Last 10 Games | 1-9 | 10.0% | 0.6 | 0.1 | -80.9% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
11.1% Over
Away
14.7% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
10.0% Over
Other Ezequiel Tovar Props
Colorado Rockies Team Trends
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Ezequiel Tovar's overall Home Runs prop record?
Ezequiel Tovar is 18-120 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (13.0% over rate).
When does Ezequiel Tovar go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Ezequiel Tovar's best Home Runs situation is Away Games, where they hit the over 14.7% of the time.
What's Ezequiel Tovar's average Home Runs per game?
Ezequiel Tovar averages 0.15 HR per game vs an average line of 0.51.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
High Total Games is Ezequiel Tovar's worst Home Runs situation at just 8.3% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 138 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.