Edmundo Sosa has struggled significantly with his hits prop over the last 10 games, going just 4-6 on overs with a brutal -0.6 differential between his 0.5 average and the typical 1.1 line. This represents a clear systematic underperformance that creates value on the under side.
Expert Analysis
Sosa's hitting woes over this 10-game stretch reveal a player whose offensive production has cratered well below market expectations. Averaging just 0.5 hits per game against a 1.1 line creates a massive 0.6 differential that's difficult to ignore. The 40% over rate indicates books haven't fully adjusted to his recent struggles, creating a persistent edge for under bettors who've enjoyed a solid 14.6% ROI. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency of the underperformance - Sosa isn't alternating between explosive and quiet games, but rather delivering steady disappointment. The current two-game under streak suggests momentum hasn't shifted, and with both his longest over and under streaks capped at just two games, we're seeing a player trapped in mediocrity rather than experiencing wild variance. This type of sustained offensive drought often persists longer than casual bettors expect, especially for utility infielders like Sosa whose role prioritizes defense over offensive production. The lack of available split data actually works in our favor here, as it suggests books are pricing his props based on season-long averages rather than recent form adjustments.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Sosa's 0.5 hits per game over this stretch creates substantial value against the typical 1.1 line, supported by strong under ROI of 14.6%. Target games where he faces quality pitching or appears lower in the batting order. Main risk is positive regression to his seasonal norms, but the consistency of recent struggles suggests this trend has more runway.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-31 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-06-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-05-31 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-05-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Edmundo Sosa's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Edmundo Sosa has gone 4-6 on his hits over/under in the last 10 games, hitting the over just 40% of the time. He's averaging only 0.5 hits per game during this stretch, well below the typical 1.1 line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Edmundo Sosa Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Sosa's hits props. His 0.5 average creates a significant edge against the 1.1 line, and under bettors have enjoyed a 14.6% ROI while overs have lost 23.6%.
What's Edmundo Sosa's average Hits last 10 games?
Sosa is averaging just 0.5 hits per game over his last 10 contests, creating a massive 0.6 differential below the typical 1.1 line. This represents a significant underperformance that creates betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Sosa's hits unders when he faces quality starting pitching or appears in the bottom third of Philadelphia's batting order. His utility role and recent struggles make these ideal spots for under value.