Daniel Schneemann's hits prop presents a compelling under opportunity, going under in 18 of 22 games (81.8% under rate) with a massive -0.9 differential from the typical 1.5 line. The 56.2% under ROI signals sustainable value in a market that hasn't fully adjusted to his contact limitations.
Expert Analysis
Schneemann's 0.64 hits per game average against a standard 1.5 line reveals a fundamental disconnect between market expectations and reality. The 81.8% under rate across 22 games isn't fluky variance—it reflects legitimate contact issues for a player thrust into everyday duty. His 18.2% over rate suggests books are slow to adjust lines downward, creating persistent value on unders. The -65.3% over ROI demonstrates how punishing backing overs has been, while the healthy 56.2% under ROI indicates sustainable profit potential. Most concerning for over backers is Schneemann's inability to string together consistent contact, evidenced by a longest over streak of just one game compared to a brutal 10-game under streak. This pattern suggests a player whose swing-and-miss tendencies aren't being properly priced. The sample size of 22 games from June through August provides meaningful data spanning different pitching matchups and conditions. Without platoon splits or situational advantages to exploit, Schneemann's hits props appear to be a consistent under play until books adjust their standard offerings downward.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 81.8% under rate and -0.9 differential create clear value, but the limited sample size prevents high confidence. Target unders when the line sits at 1.5, especially in tougher matchups against quality pitching. Main risk is potential lineup changes or improved plate approach as Schneemann develops, but current data strongly favors continued under results.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-11 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-14 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 2.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-02 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Daniel Schneemann's Hits prop record all games?
Schneemann's hits prop record shows 4 overs and 18 unders in 22 games, translating to an 18.2% over rate. He's averaging just 0.64 hits per game against typical lines around 1.5, creating a significant -0.9 differential that favors under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Daniel Schneemann Hits all games?
Bet under on Schneemann's hits props. The 81.8% under rate and 56.2% under ROI provide clear value, especially when lines are set at 1.5. His contact issues create consistent opportunities for under backers in most matchups.
What's Daniel Schneemann's average Hits all games?
Schneemann averages 0.64 hits per game, nearly a full hit below the standard 1.5 line. This -0.9 differential represents one of the larger gaps between performance and market expectations, making unders the preferred play in most situations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Schneemann hits unders when facing quality pitching or when lines remain at 1.5 or higher. His 10-game under streak and consistent contact struggles suggest unders provide value across various matchups until books adjust their standard offerings significantly lower.