Cole Ragans shows a perfectly balanced 11-11 record on strikeout props with a modest +0.4 differential above the line. The 50% over rate combined with negative ROI on both sides suggests efficient market pricing. This is a clear PASS situation with no identifiable edge.
Expert Analysis
The data on Cole Ragans strikeouts presents a textbook case of market efficiency. His 11-11 record over 22 games represents perfect balance, while the 6.95 average against a 6.59 line shows only a minimal 0.36 strikeout edge. More telling is the -4.5% ROI on both sides, indicating that even when Ragans hits the over, the juice and line movement have eliminated profitability. The current two-game under streak means little given his longest streaks in either direction only reached three games. Without split data to identify favorable matchups or situational edges, there's no angle to exploit. Ragans appears to be a pitcher whose strikeout output is well-understood by the market, with books setting accurate lines that account for his true talent level. The absence of any significant variance in his performance suggests he's neither a volatile pitcher who creates betting opportunities through inconsistency, nor a consistently undervalued arm the market hasn't adjusted to. This type of perfectly balanced record typically indicates a mature betting market where sharp money has already eliminated any edges.
Betting Verdict
PASS with HIGH confidence. The perfectly balanced 11-11 record combined with negative ROI on both sides screams market efficiency. There's no identifiable edge when a pitcher hits the over exactly 50% of the time with such minimal differential. Without situational splits or recent form data to find an angle, this is a clear avoid until conditions change or we identify specific matchup advantages.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 7.5 | 6.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-11 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 6.5 | 9.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 6.5 | 8.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-22 | OPP | 6.5 | 5.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-12 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-05 | OPP | 7.5 | 8.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-29 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-19 | OPP | 7.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-14 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-09 | OPP | 7.5 | 9.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 6.5 | 7.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-22 | OPP | 6.5 | 12.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cole Ragans's Strikeouts prop record all games?
Cole Ragans has gone 11-11 on strikeout props across 22 games, hitting the over exactly 50% of the time. His average of 6.95 strikeouts sits just 0.36 above the typical 6.59 line, showing remarkable consistency around market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cole Ragans Strikeouts all games?
Pass on Cole Ragans strikeout props. The perfectly balanced 11-11 record with negative ROI on both sides indicates the market has this priced correctly. There's no edge when a pitcher hits exactly 50% with minimal variance.
What's Cole Ragans's average Strikeouts all games?
Cole Ragans averages 6.95 strikeouts per game against a typical line of 6.59, creating just a +0.4 differential. This minimal edge above the line gets erased by the -4.5% ROI, showing the market accounts for his true performance level.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Cole Ragans strikeout props until we identify specific situational advantages. The current data shows no favorable conditions, with his balanced performance suggesting the market has eliminated edges through accurate line-setting across all situations.