CJ Abrams has been a home run desert over his last 10 games, going just 1-9-0 on the over with a brutal 10.0% hit rate. Averaging only 0.1 home runs per game against typical 0.5 lines, the under has delivered a massive +71.8% ROI while overs hemorrhaged -80.9%. This trend strongly favors continued under betting.
Expert Analysis
CJ Abrams's power outage represents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball right now. His 0.1 home run average over this 10-game stretch sits 80% below the standard 0.5 line, creating massive value gaps that books haven't adequately adjusted for. The 90% under rate isn't just impressive—it's historically significant for a player who entered 2024 with legitimate pop expectations. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency. Abrams has managed just one home run across 10 games, with a seven-game homerless streak highlighting his current power struggles. This isn't variance—it's a fundamental shift in his offensive profile. The shortstop's swing mechanics appear compromised, whether from injury, adjustment, or mechanical issues. His current 7-game under streak followed by the longest over streak being just one game shows the trend's persistence. The -0.4 differential between his actual production and betting lines creates immediate value every time books set him at 0.5+. While regression is always possible in baseball, Abrams's underlying metrics suggest this power drought has legitimate staying power, making the under a high-conviction play until books properly adjust their lines downward.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. CJ Abrams's home run props present exceptional value with his 90% under rate and massive production gap below betting lines. The trend shows remarkable consistency with a seven-game homerless streak and only one home run in 10 games total. Target any line set at 0.5+ home runs, as his 0.1 average creates immediate mathematical edges. Main risk is sudden power surge, but his underlying struggles suggest continued futility.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-19 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is CJ Abrams's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
CJ Abrams has gone 1-9-0 over/under on home run props in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 10.0% of the time. He's averaging only 0.1 home runs per game during this stretch, well below typical betting lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on CJ Abrams Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under on CJ Abrams home run props with high confidence. His 90% under rate and 0.1 average against 0.5+ lines creates massive value. The trend shows consistency with a seven-game homerless streak.
What's CJ Abrams's average Home Runs last 10 games?
CJ Abrams is averaging just 0.1 home runs per game over his last 10 contests, sitting 0.4 home runs below the typical 0.5 line. This creates an 80% gap between his production and betting expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target CJ Abrams home run unders when lines are set at 0.5 or higher, which creates immediate mathematical value given his 0.1 average. His current power struggles make any positive home run line profitable to fade.