Bryson Stott has been a hits machine over his last 10 games, posting a stellar 7-3 over record with a +33.6% ROI. The Phillies second baseman is averaging 1.4 hits per game against a typical 1.0 line, creating consistent value. This trend strongly favors the over.
Expert Analysis
Stott's recent surge represents a significant uptick in offensive production, with his 1.4 hits per game average creating a substantial 0.4 buffer above standard lines. The 70% over rate across 10 games suggests this isn't random variance but rather a sustained period of improved contact and timing. What makes this trend particularly compelling is the consistency - Stott managed a five-game over streak during this span, indicating he's seeing the ball well and making quality contact. The +33.6% ROI demonstrates clear market inefficiency, as books appear slow to adjust to his improved form. However, the recent one-game under streak could signal the beginning of regression to his season norms. The lack of detailed split data limits our ability to identify optimal spots, but the overall trend strength suggests Stott has found a groove at the plate. His position in the Phillies' lineup provides consistent at-bat opportunities, and the team's offensive environment supports continued production. The key risk is whether this represents a true skill improvement or simply a hot streak that's due for correction.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Stott's 70% over rate and +0.4 average differential above the line create clear value, especially with the strong five-game over streak showing sustained improvement. Target spots where the line remains at 1.0 or lower, as the market hasn't fully caught up to his recent form. Main risk is regression catching up after this extended hot streak, but the consistency suggests continued value in the near term.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Hits Prop Lines
Compare Bryson Stott props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bryson Stott's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Stott has gone 7-3 on hits overs in his last 10 games, a 70% success rate. He's averaging 1.4 hits per game during this span, well above the typical 1.0 line, generating a strong +33.6% ROI for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bryson Stott Hits last 10 games?
Lean over on Stott's hits props. His 70% over rate and 1.4 average create clear value above standard lines. The five-game over streak shows sustained improvement, though recent regression risk exists after this hot stretch.
What's Bryson Stott's average Hits last 10 games?
Stott is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 10 contests, creating a significant +0.4 differential above the typical 1.0 line. This buffer has translated to consistent over success and strong betting value.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Stott hits overs when the line stays at 1.0 or lower, as the market hasn't adjusted to his recent surge. Avoid betting after extended cold streaks, and monitor for signs of regression after his current hot streak cools.