Brice Turang's total bases props present a compelling under opportunity with just 28.3% overs across 60 games. His 1.2 average sits 0.8 bases below typical 2.02 lines, generating a robust +36.8% ROI on unders. This is a high-conviction fade play.
Expert Analysis
Brice Turang's total bases props reveal a fundamental mismatch between market expectations and reality. Averaging just 1.2 total bases against lines typically set around 2.02, Turang consistently falls short by nearly a full base per game. This 0.8 differential stems from his profile as a contact-oriented leadoff hitter who prioritizes getting on base over power production. The 17-43 over/under record across 60 games represents a statistically significant sample that suggests books haven't properly adjusted for Turang's approach. His longest under streak of 9 games demonstrates the consistency of this pattern, while the brief 5-game over streak appears to be an outlier rather than a trend shift. The -45.9% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors chasing a power profile that simply doesn't exist. Turang's game is built around speed and contact, not extra-base hits. Without significant changes to his swing mechanics or approach, this underlying tendency should persist. The market appears slow to recognize that Turang's ceiling is often a single or walk, making 2+ total bases a challenging proposition on most nights.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Turang's contact-heavy approach and 1.2 average create a sustainable edge against inflated lines. The 60-game sample provides strong statistical backing, while his profile suggests limited regression risk. Target unders when lines sit at 1.5 or higher, as his singles-focused game rarely produces the multiple bases books expect.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 4.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-15 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brice Turang's Total Bases prop record all games?
Turang's total bases record stands at 17-43 across all games, hitting the over just 28.3% of the time. This represents a significant under bias over a substantial 60-game sample from May 2023 through September 2024.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brice Turang Total Bases all games?
Bet the under on Turang's total bases props. His 1.2 average sits well below typical lines, generating +36.8% ROI on unders. The 71.7% under rate across 60 games provides strong statistical backing for this approach.
What's Brice Turang's average Total Bases all games?
Turang averages 1.2 total bases per game, sitting 0.8 bases below the typical 2.02 line. This substantial gap reflects his contact-oriented approach that prioritizes singles and walks over extra-base hits and power production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turang total bases unders when lines are set at 1.5 or higher. His singles-focused profile makes these elevated expectations particularly vulnerable, especially against quality pitching that limits his already modest power upside.