Brice Turang's home run production away from home presents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball, hitting just 11.1% overs across 27 road games. With a massive -0.4 differential from the typical 0.5 line and 12 consecutive unders, this signals a clear structural edge favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
Brice Turang's road home run futility stems from his contact-oriented profile that simply doesn't translate to power production away from Milwaukee's hitter-friendly American Family Field. His 0.11 home run average on the road represents a dramatic power suppression that goes beyond typical home/road splits. The 12-game under streak isn't random variance—it reflects Turang's approach as a table-setter who prioritizes getting on base over driving balls out of the park. Road environments typically feature different dimensions, backgrounds, and atmospheric conditions that can further diminish already-limited power potential. The -78.8% ROI on overs tells the story of a market that consistently overvalues his home run chances away from home. This trend shows remarkable persistence because it's rooted in Turang's fundamental skill set rather than temporary slumps. His bat-to-ball skills remain intact on the road, but the raw power necessary to clear various ballpark dimensions simply isn't there. The 69.7% ROI on unders represents exceptional value that persists because casual bettors often ignore home/road power differentials for younger players. This isn't a player experiencing bad luck—it's a structural mismatch between his abilities and the betting line's expectations in road environments.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Turang's road power profile creates a systematic edge that the market hasn't properly adjusted for, evidenced by the 88.9% under rate and current 12-game streak. Target this prop in any road venue, particularly in pitcher-friendly ballparks or against quality pitching staffs. The primary risk is a random cheapie home run breaking the streak, but the underlying skill set suggests continued value.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-21 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-05 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-04 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-01 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-22 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-06-18 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-06-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Home Runs Prop Lines
Compare Brice Turang props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brice Turang's Home Runs prop record away games?
Turang is 3-24-0 on home run overs in away games, hitting just 11.1% over rate with a brutal -78.8% ROI for over bettors across 27 road contests since July 2023.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brice Turang Home Runs away games?
Bet the under with high confidence. His 0.11 road home run average sits 0.4 below the typical line, creating systematic value that has produced 69.7% ROI on unders.
What's Brice Turang's average Home Runs away games?
Turang averages 0.11 home runs per road game, creating a massive -0.4 differential below the standard 0.5 line that represents one of the largest gaps in baseball.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Turang home run unders in any road game, especially in pitcher-friendly ballparks or against quality starters where his limited power becomes even more suppressed.