Brice Turang's home run props present one of baseball's most lopsided betting opportunities, with unders hitting at a 95.1% clip (58-3 record) and a historic 32-game under streak. The Brewers second baseman averages just 0.05 home runs per game against a typical 0.5 line, creating massive value on the under.
Expert Analysis
Turang's power profile represents the extreme end of modern contact-first infielders, with his swing mechanics and approach optimized for getting on base rather than driving balls over the fence. His 0.05 home run average reflects a player who rarely elevates the baseball with authority, instead focusing on line drives and ground balls that maximize his speed. The 32-game under streak isn't an aberration—it's the natural result of a hitter whose launch angle and exit velocity data consistently fall below home run thresholds. Turang's role as a table-setter at the top of Milwaukee's lineup reinforces this approach, as the Brewers value his on-base skills and stolen base threat over any power production. The -90.6% ROI on overs tells the complete story: books consistently set his home run line at 0.5, but Turang's skill set and role make clearing that number an extremely rare occurrence. This isn't a hot streak or small sample—it's a fundamental mismatch between his abilities and the betting line that creates sustainable value.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Turang's 95.1% under rate and 32-game streak reflect his genuine lack of power rather than variance. The 0.47-run gap between his average and typical lines creates immediate value on every under bet. Target standard 0.5 lines especially, as Turang's contact-oriented approach makes home runs genuine outliers rather than expected outcomes.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-02 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-25 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-15 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-08 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Home Runs Prop Lines
Compare Brice Turang props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brice Turang's Home Runs prop record all games?
Turang's home run prop record stands at an exceptional 58-3-0 under/over/push across 61 games, representing a 95.1% under rate. This translates to just three games where he hit a home run against 58 games where he failed to clear the line.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brice Turang Home Runs all games?
Bet the under with high confidence. Turang's 95.1% under rate, 32-game under streak, and +81.5% under ROI create one of baseball's most reliable prop bets. His contact-first profile makes home runs genuine outliers.
What's Brice Turang's average Home Runs all games?
Turang averages 0.05 home runs per game compared to the standard 0.5 betting line, creating a massive 0.47 differential. This gap represents the largest value discrepancy in his prop portfolio and explains the exceptional under performance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target any game with standard 0.5 home run lines, as Turang's power deficit creates value regardless of matchup. Focus on higher juice under lines when available, as his contact-oriented approach makes home runs consistently unlikely events.