Brett Baty has delivered zero home runs across his last 10 games, creating a perfect 0-10-0 under record against the standard 0.5 home run line. This complete power drought represents a significant betting edge, with the under generating +90.9% ROI while overs have produced total losses.
Expert Analysis
Brett Baty's complete absence of home runs over this 10-game stretch reveals a player struggling with fundamental power production at the major league level. The 0.0 home run average against a 0.5 line creates a -0.5 differential that's mathematically impossible to overcome without a dramatic swing change or approach adjustment. This isn't variance or bad luck—it's a sustained pattern indicating either mechanical issues, poor pitch selection, or simply insufficient raw power for consistent home run production. The perfect 10-0 under streak suggests oddsmakers may be overestimating Baty's current power ceiling, particularly given his likely limited playing time and pressure to perform. Young players often experience extended power droughts as they adjust to major league pitching velocity and location. The fact that Baty hasn't even come close to clearing the fence once in 10 games indicates this trend has strong persistence potential, especially if he's facing quality pitching or playing in pitcher-friendly conditions. The -100% ROI on overs demonstrates just how poorly this prop has performed, while the +90.9% under return reflects the consistent value in fading his power output.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Brett Baty's complete power absence over 10 games creates exceptional under value, particularly with oddsmakers still setting lines at 0.5 home runs. The mathematical impossibility of his current production meeting even the lowest standard line, combined with likely mechanical or approach issues, makes this trend highly sustainable. Main risk is a single swing changing everything, but his current form suggests minimal home run upside.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-30 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-11 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-05-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Brett Baty's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Brett Baty has gone 0-10-0 on his home run props over the last 10 games, hitting zero home runs against the standard 0.5 line. This perfect under record has generated -100% ROI for over bettors while producing +90.9% returns for under backers.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Brett Baty Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Brett Baty's home runs with high confidence. His complete power drought over 10 games, combined with a 0.0 average against 0.5 lines, creates exceptional under value that's mathematically difficult for books to properly adjust.
What's Brett Baty's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Brett Baty is averaging 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games compared to the typical 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between production and expectations represents one of the most extreme under trends available.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Brett Baty home run unders when he faces quality pitching or plays in pitcher-friendly ballparks. His current mechanical struggles suggest the under provides value regardless of matchup, but tough conditions amplify the edge significantly.