Bobby Witt Jr.'s total bases props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 20% over the last 10 games with an 8-game under streak. His 2.2 average sits a full base below the typical 3.2 line, generating +52.7% ROI on unders. This represents a clear statistical edge worth exploiting.
Expert Analysis
Bobby Witt Jr.'s total bases collapse over this 10-game stretch represents one of the season's most exploitable prop trends. The Kansas City shortstop is averaging just 2.2 total bases against lines consistently set around 3.2, creating a massive -1.0 differential that screams systematic mispricing. This isn't random variance—eight consecutive unders suggest a fundamental shift in Witt's offensive output that oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted for. The 20% over rate is historically low for a player of Witt's caliber, indicating either a mechanical issue, fatigue from a long season, or opposing pitchers successfully executing a new game plan against him. What makes this trend particularly compelling is its consistency—no hot streaks breaking the pattern, just steady underperformance relative to expectations. The -61.8% ROI on overs tells the story of bettors and books alike overestimating Witt's current form. Late-season regression is common for young players, and Witt appears to be experiencing exactly that. The persistence of this trend across 10 games provides enough sample size to suggest this isn't mere bad luck but a genuine shift in production that the market hasn't caught up to.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Bobby Witt Jr.'s total bases props are severely overpriced, with his 2.2 average sitting a full base below typical lines. The 8-game under streak and +52.7% under ROI indicate systematic market mispricing that hasn't been corrected. Target this prop in all situations until the line drops below 2.5 or Witt shows signs of breaking the pattern with multi-hit performances.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-25 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-21 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 2.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-17 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 5.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 6.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bobby Witt Jr.'s Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Bobby Witt Jr. has gone 2-8-0 over/under on total bases props in his last 10 games, hitting just 20% overs. He's currently riding an 8-game under streak, the longest of the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bobby Witt Jr. Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Bobby Witt Jr.'s total bases props with high confidence. His 2.2 average sits a full base below typical 3.2 lines, creating a +52.7% ROI edge that represents clear market mispricing.
What's Bobby Witt Jr.'s average Total Bases last 10 games?
Bobby Witt Jr. is averaging 2.2 total bases over his last 10 games compared to the typical 3.2 line, creating a significant -1.0 differential that heavily favors under bettors in this sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Bobby Witt Jr.'s total bases unders in all situations until the market corrects. The trend shows no situational variance, making every game an opportunity to exploit the systematic overpricing of his props.