Blake Perkins has been ice cold at the plate, going under his hits prop in 9 of 10 games with a brutal 10.0% over rate. Averaging just 0.3 hits against a 1.8 line creates a massive 1.5-hit differential that screams systematic underperformance.
Expert Analysis
The numbers paint a stark picture of a hitter completely out of sync. Perkins is averaging 0.3 hits per game against a 1.8 line, creating a staggering 1.5-hit deficit that suggests either the market hasn't adjusted to his current form or he's genuinely struggling with mechanical issues. The 5-game under streak indicates this isn't just variance—something fundamental has broken down in his approach. His longest over streak lasted just one game, showing zero sustained offensive momentum. The -80.9% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently he's failed to reach even modest expectations. While regression is always possible in baseball, the severity of this downturn suggests deeper issues than simple bad luck. The market may be slow to adjust, particularly for a player who doesn't generate heavy betting volume. However, the sample size of 10 games spanning nearly three months indicates this isn't a brief slump. The complete absence of multi-game over streaks is particularly concerning, as even struggling hitters typically show occasional flashes. This level of consistent underperformance often correlates with confidence issues, mechanical problems, or potentially undisclosed minor injuries that affect timing and bat speed.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Perkins's 0.3 hits per game average against a 1.8 line represents one of the most exploitable disconnects in current prop markets. The 5-game under streak and complete lack of sustained offensive success suggest this isn't variance but genuine decline. Bet unders until the market adjusts or he shows legitimate signs of improvement.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-10 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Blake Perkins's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Blake Perkins has gone 1-9-0 over/under on his hits prop in his last 10 games, hitting the over just 10.0% of the time. This represents one of the worst over rates among qualified players during this timeframe.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Blake Perkins Hits last 10 games?
Bet under on Blake Perkins hits props with high confidence. His 0.3 hits per game average against typical 1.8 lines creates a massive edge, supported by a current 5-game under streak and systematic underperformance.
What's Blake Perkins's average Hits last 10 games?
Blake Perkins is averaging just 0.3 hits per game over his last 10 contests, creating a staggering 1.5-hit deficit against the typical 1.8 line. This differential represents one of the largest gaps in current prop markets.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Blake Perkins under hits props consistently until market correction occurs. His systematic underperformance across multiple months suggests this isn't temporary variance but genuine decline that books haven't fully recognized yet.