Overall Home Runs: 7-21-0 O/U

25.0% Over Rate
0.25 Avg HR
0.54 Avg Line
-0.3 Avg vs Line
-52.3% Over ROI
28 Games
OVER 25.0%
UNDER 75.0%
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER

🔥 Best Situation

Last 10 Games

4-6 O/U (40.0% Over)

+-23.6% ROI

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📉 Worst Situation

Away Games

4-14 O/U (22.2% Over)

-57.6% ROI

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Home Runs Over Rate by Situation

Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.

All Home Runs Situations

Situation O/U Record Over % Avg Line Avg Actual Over ROI
All Games 7-21 25.0% 0.54 0.25 -52.3%
Away Games 4-14 22.2% 0.56 0.22 -57.6%
Home Games 3-7 30.0% 0.5 0.3 -42.7%
Last 10 Games 4-6 40.0% 0.5 0.4 -23.6%

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 30.0% Over
Away 22.2% Over

By Line Range

Line < -1.5 —% Over
Line > 2.5 —% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 —% Over
Last 10 40.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Austin Riley's overall Home Runs prop record?

Austin Riley is 7-21 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (25.0% over rate).

When does Austin Riley go OVER on Home Runs the most?

Austin Riley's best Home Runs situation is Last 10 Games, where they hit the over 40.0% of the time.

What's Austin Riley's average Home Runs per game?

Austin Riley averages 0.25 HR per game vs an average line of 0.54.

Which situation should I avoid betting?

Away Games is Austin Riley's worst Home Runs situation at just 22.2% over rate.

Methodology: Analysis covers 28 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.