Anthony Volpe's total bases prop presents a compelling under opportunity with just 26.7% overs hitting across 15 games. The Yankees shortstop averages 1.6 total bases against a 3.17 line, creating a massive -1.6 differential. Currently riding six straight unders, this trend shows remarkable consistency for under bettors.
Expert Analysis
Anthony Volpe's total bases production reveals a systematic underperformance that transcends typical variance. Averaging 1.6 total bases against a 3.17 line represents a staggering 49% shortfall, suggesting oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted to his actual output. The 26.7% over rate across 15 games indicates this isn't a small sample fluke but rather a persistent pattern reflecting Volpe's current offensive limitations. His six-game under streak demonstrates the consistency of this trend, with his longest over streak reaching just two games. The -49.1% ROI on overs versus +40.0% on unders quantifies the betting edge clearly. Volpe's struggles likely stem from his aggressive approach and developing plate discipline, common traits for young shortstops adjusting to major league pitching. The inflated line appears to price in his prospect pedigree and Yankees lineup protection rather than his actual production. This creates a sustainable edge as books remain slow to adjust total bases props compared to more liquid markets. The persistence of this trend suggests structural factors rather than temporary slumps, making regression less likely in the short term.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Volpe's 1.6 average against a 3.17 line creates an exceptional value proposition that books haven't corrected. The six-game under streak and 73.3% under rate demonstrate remarkable consistency. Ideal conditions exist when the line stays above 3.0, as Volpe rarely reaches multi-hit games with extra bases. Main risk involves lineup changes or sudden offensive breakthrough, but his current approach suggests continued struggles.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 3.5 | 3.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 3.5 | 1.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 2.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-04 | OPP | 4.5 | 1.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-07-29 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-05-16 | OPP | 3.5 | 5.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Total Bases Prop Lines
Compare Anthony Volpe props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Volpe's Total Bases prop record all games?
Anthony Volpe's total bases record shows 4-11-0 over/under across 15 games, hitting just 26.7% overs. He averages 1.6 total bases against a 3.17 line, creating a -1.6 differential that strongly favors under bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Volpe Total Bases all games?
Bet UNDER on Anthony Volpe's total bases with high confidence. His 73.3% under rate and +40% ROI on unders versus -49% on overs creates exceptional value. The persistent 1.6 average against 3.17 line shows clear market inefficiency.
What's Anthony Volpe's average Total Bases all games?
Anthony Volpe averages 1.6 total bases across all games, significantly below his typical 3.17 line. This -1.6 differential represents a 49% shortfall, indicating systematic underperformance that creates consistent value for under bettors seeking reliable returns.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Anthony Volpe total bases unders when the line exceeds 3.0, as his 1.6 average rarely approaches these inflated numbers. His current six-game under streak and 26.7% over rate suggest optimal conditions exist consistently across most game situations.