Anthony Volpe has been a consistent under play in hits props, going 2-8-0 over his last 10 games with a brutal 20% over rate. His 0.9 average sits a full hit below the typical 1.9 line, generating impressive 52.7% ROI on unders. This represents a clear exploitable edge.
Expert Analysis
Volpe's hits struggles over this 10-game stretch reveal a player caught between development phases. The Yankees shortstop is averaging just 0.9 hits per game against lines consistently set around 1.9, creating a massive one-hit gap that sportsbooks haven't adequately adjusted for. This isn't just bad luck - it's a fundamental disconnect between perception and production. The 80% under rate suggests books are still pricing Volpe based on his prospect pedigree rather than current output. His longest under streak of four games indicates sustained struggles rather than random variance. The sample size of 10 games provides meaningful data without being so large that regression becomes inevitable. Most concerning for over bettors is the consistency of the underperformance - Volpe has managed just two games exceeding his hits line in this span. The -61.8% ROI on overs represents catastrophic losses for anyone backing the over consistently. This trend appears rooted in genuine performance issues rather than statistical noise, making it a sustainable edge for disciplined under bettors.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Volpe's 20% over rate and massive -1.0 differential between average and line creates a clear mathematical edge that books haven't corrected. The 52.7% under ROI demonstrates profitable opportunity. Target games where the hits line remains at 1.5 or higher, as Volpe's current form suggests he'll struggle to reach even reduced expectations. Main risk is sudden offensive breakthrough, but his consistent underperformance indicates this edge should persist short-term.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-20 | OPP | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-04 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-30 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-26 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-18 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Volpe's Hits prop record last 10 games?
Anthony Volpe has gone 2-8-0 on hits props over his last 10 games, hitting the over just 20% of the time. He's averaging 0.9 hits per game against lines typically set around 1.9, creating a significant underperformance pattern.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Volpe Hits last 10 games?
Bet the under on Anthony Volpe's hits props. His 20% over rate and 52.7% under ROI create a clear edge. The one-hit gap between his 0.9 average and typical 1.9 line represents exploitable value that books haven't corrected.
What's Anthony Volpe's average Hits last 10 games?
Anthony Volpe is averaging 0.9 hits over his last 10 games, sitting a full hit below the typical 1.9 line. This -1.0 differential represents a massive gap that has generated consistent under value for disciplined bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anthony Volpe under bets when his hits line is set at 1.5 or higher. His current form suggests struggles reaching even reduced expectations. Avoid when lines drop below 1.5, as that indicates books may be adjusting to his poor form.