Anthony Rendon's total bases prop has been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 1 of 10 overs (10.0% rate) with an average of 0.4 total bases against a 2.7 line. Currently riding a five-game under streak, this represents one of the season's most reliable fade opportunities.
Expert Analysis
Rendon's total bases collapse reflects a perfect storm of declining performance factors that show no signs of reversing. Averaging just 0.4 total bases per game against a 2.7 line creates a massive -2.3 differential that's unsustainable for books but highly profitable for sharp bettors. The 71.8% ROI on unders demonstrates this isn't random variance but systematic underperformance. What makes this trend particularly reliable is its consistency—Rendon hasn't just been slightly under, he's been dramatically under with minimal power output. The five-game under streak suggests either injury concerns, mechanical issues, or age-related decline that won't magically resolve mid-season. His longest over streak was just one game, indicating even his best performances barely clear reduced expectations. The -80.9% ROI on overs shows how badly books have misjudged his current form. This level of consistent underperformance typically persists when tied to physical limitations rather than temporary slumps. The sample size of 10 games provides sufficient data to identify a clear pattern while remaining recent enough to reflect current conditions.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Rendon's total bases props represent one of the season's most exploitable edges, with a 90% under rate and 2.3-base average shortfall creating exceptional value. Target this prop in all game situations until the line drops significantly or Rendon shows sustained improvement. The primary risk is potential rest days limiting opportunities, but when he plays, the under remains the sharp side.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 4.5 | 0.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Rendon's Total Bases prop record last 10 games?
Anthony Rendon has gone 1-9-0 on total bases overs in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs. He's averaging 0.4 total bases per game against a typical 2.7 line, creating a massive underperformance gap.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Rendon Total Bases last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Anthony Rendon's total bases props with high confidence. The 90% under rate and 2.3-base average shortfall represent one of the season's most reliable betting edges until the line adjusts significantly.
What's Anthony Rendon's average Total Bases last 10 games?
Anthony Rendon is averaging just 0.4 total bases over his last 10 games compared to his typical 2.7 line. This -2.3 differential represents one of the largest gaps between performance and expectations this season.
How reliable is this trend?
Bet Anthony Rendon total bases unders in any game situation while the line remains inflated above 2.0. Target props immediately when posted, as this edge may disappear once books adjust to his current form.