Anthony Rendon has delivered a perfect 0-10-0 record on home run overs across his last 10 games, averaging zero home runs against a 0.5 line. This represents a complete power outage from the veteran third baseman. The under carries significant value with a 90.9% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Rendon's power drought reflects a concerning combination of age-related decline and mechanical struggles that have plagued his 2024 campaign. At 34, the former All-Star is experiencing his worst power season since his rookie year, managing just four home runs across 57 games. The Angels third baseman's exit velocity has dropped significantly, with hard contact rates falling below league average for the first time in his career. His swing has become increasingly passive, working deeper counts but lacking the aggressive approach that once generated 30-homer seasons. The trend shows remarkable consistency—ten straight games without clearing the fence suggests this isn't random variance but a fundamental shift in his offensive profile. Rendon's plate discipline remains elite, but he's no longer turning favorable counts into extra-base hits. The Angels' struggles as a team have also affected his RBI opportunities, reducing his motivation to expand the zone for power. His home ballpark provides modest offensive benefits, yet even favorable conditions haven't sparked any power resurgence. The sample size is significant enough to indicate this represents his current ceiling rather than a temporary slump.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Rendon's power has completely evaporated, making the 0.5 home run line nearly impossible to clear given his current form. The 10-game sample shows consistent inability to generate power, supported by declining exit velocity metrics. Primary risk is regression to his career norms, but at 34 with visible mechanical issues, this power drought appears sustainable rather than temporary.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Rendon's Home Runs prop record last 10 games?
Rendon holds a perfect 0-10-0 record on home run overs in his last 10 games, with zero home runs total against a consistent 0.5 line. This represents complete failure to reach the over threshold across the entire sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Rendon Home Runs last 10 games?
Bet the under on Rendon's home run props. His power has completely disappeared with zero homers in 10 games and declining exit velocity metrics. The 0.5 line appears too high for his current offensive capabilities and age-related decline.
What's Anthony Rendon's average Home Runs last 10 games?
Rendon averages exactly 0.0 home runs over his last 10 games against a 0.5 line, creating a -0.5 differential. This massive gap between performance and expectation represents one of the most reliable under trends in baseball props currently.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Rendon home run unders consistently regardless of matchup, as his power drought transcends situational factors. The trend shows remarkable consistency across different opponents and conditions, making any 0.5+ line valuable for under betting.