Anthony Rendon's hits props present a compelling under opportunity with a 41.5% over rate across 41 games and a -0.2 differential below his typical line. The veteran third baseman has delivered positive ROI on unders (+11.8%) while burning over bettors (-20.8%). This trend strongly favors the under.
Expert Analysis
Rendon's hitting struggles reflect the harsh reality of a declining veteran battling both age and injury concerns. His 0.88 hits per game average consistently falls short of the 1.06 line bookmakers set, creating a persistent edge for under bettors. The -0.2 differential isn't marginal—it represents a significant gap that has persisted across 41 games, suggesting this isn't random variance but a fundamental shift in his offensive production. The current seven-game under streak extends a pattern of inconsistency that has defined Rendon's recent seasons. His longest under streak reached nine games, while overs rarely sustain momentum beyond four games. This volatility actually benefits under bettors, as books struggle to properly adjust lines for a player whose prime is clearly behind him. The 20.8% negative ROI on overs indicates the market consistently overvalues Rendon's hitting ability, likely influenced by his past reputation rather than current performance. Age-related decline in bat speed, reduced plate discipline, and nagging injuries create a perfect storm for sustained underperformance against inflated expectations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Rendon's consistent underperformance against his lines creates a sustainable edge, particularly given his current seven-game under streak and the market's tendency to overvalue his declining skills. Target this prop when lines sit at 1.0 or higher, as the veteran third baseman rarely sustains multi-hit games consistently. The primary risk involves potential lineup protection or favorable matchups temporarily boosting his production.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-03 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-28 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-27 | OPP | 2.5 | 1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-24 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-23 | OPP | 1.5 | 1.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-20 | OPP | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-16 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-14 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-13 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-12 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-08-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 2.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-09 | OPP | 1.5 | 3.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-08-07 | OPP | 0.5 | 2.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Hits Prop Lines
Compare Anthony Rendon props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Anthony Rendon's Hits prop record all games?
Anthony Rendon's hits prop record stands at 17-24-0 over/under across 41 games, translating to a 41.5% over rate. This poor over percentage demonstrates consistent struggles to reach his projected hit totals throughout the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Anthony Rendon Hits all games?
Bet under on Anthony Rendon's hits props. His 0.88 average falls well short of typical 1.06 lines, creating a -0.2 differential that has produced +11.8% ROI on unders while overs lose 20.8%.
What's Anthony Rendon's average Hits all games?
Anthony Rendon averages 0.88 hits per game across the 41-game sample, sitting 0.2 hits below his typical 1.06 line. This significant gap between performance and expectations creates consistent value on under bets.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Anthony Rendon hits unders when lines reach 1.0 or higher, especially during his current cold streaks. His seven-game under streak and history of extended slumps make these prime opportunities for under bets.