Pittsburgh Pirates vs Non-Conference Opponent Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as vs non-conference opponent, the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 223-273-1 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -14.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +14.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 26-22-0 | 0.0% | +3.4% |
| 2015 | 11-25-0 | 0.0% | -41.7% |
| 2016 | 18-25-0 | 0.0% | -20.1% |
| 2017 | 20-23-0 | 0.0% | -11.2% |
| 2018 | 23-24-0 | 0.0% | -6.6% |
| 2019 | 18-20-1 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
| 2020 | 27-32-0 | 0.0% | -12.6% |
| 2021 | 12-28-0 | 0.0% | -42.7% |
| 2022 | 26-21-0 | 0.0% | +5.6% |
| 2023 | 26-19-0 | 0.0% | +10.3% |
| 2024 | 16-34-0 | 0.0% | -38.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' struggles against non-conference opponents stem from their organizational approach to interleague play and roster construction. Pittsburgh has historically built teams optimized for National League Central competition, emphasizing pitching depth and situational hitting rather than the power-heavy lineups that tend to excel against unfamiliar American League pitching styles. Their developmental focus on contact hitters and ground ball pitchers creates matchup disadvantages when facing AL teams that typically carry more potent offensive depth and designated hitter specialists. The psychological element cannot be overlooked either. Pittsburgh players often view interleague series as measuring stick games against traditionally stronger AL franchises, leading to pressing and overthinking at the plate. The Pirates' younger core tends to expand the strike zone against unfamiliar pitching, while their pitching staff struggles with the designated hitter dynamic that eliminates easy outs in the batting order. The franchise's financial constraints also manifest during interleague play, as their roster depth gets exposed when facing teams with superior bench strength and bullpen resources. Pittsburgh's tendency to rely heavily on their starting rotation becomes problematic when those pitchers face lineups they haven't studied extensively. This trend carries the most weight during early-season interleague series when the Pirates haven't yet established their identity and confidence levels remain fragile.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as vs non-conference opponent?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 223-273-1 when playing against non-conference opponents from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.0% ATS win rate over 497 games.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as vs non-conference opponent profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates against non-conference opponents has not been profitable, showing a -14.2% ROI from 2014-2024. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Pittsburgh in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pirates' 45.0% ATS win rate against non-conference opponents is significantly below the expected 50% break-even point. Their -14.2% ROI indicates they have consistently failed to cover spreads in interleague play more often than league average.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.