Pittsburgh Pirates One Day Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as one day rest, the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 79-89-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.2%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2016 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2017 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2018 | 5-9-0 | 0.0% | -31.8% |
| 2019 | 6-10-0 | 0.0% | -28.4% |
| 2020 | 12-11-0 | 0.0% | -0.4% |
| 2021 | 8-9-0 | 0.0% | -10.2% |
| 2022 | 8-13-0 | 0.0% | -27.3% |
| 2023 | 8-6-0 | 0.0% | +9.1% |
| 2024 | 9-10-0 | 0.0% | -9.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' struggles on one day of rest reflect a franchise caught between competing priorities during their recent rebuilding phases. Unlike established contenders who use abbreviated rest strategically to maintain momentum, Pittsburgh has often found themselves managing young pitchers and developing talent who lack the experience to thrive in compressed schedules. The organization's frequent roster turnover means less continuity in preparation routines, while their typically thin bullpen depth gets exposed when starters can't provide length on short rest. Pittsburgh's geographical challenges compound these issues, as their central location often creates awkward travel situations where one-day rest coincides with cross-country trips or division rivalries that demand peak performance. The team's historically inconsistent offense means they can't afford the slight dip in pitching effectiveness that naturally occurs on abbreviated rest, turning close games into covers for opponents. Smart bettors should target Pirates opponents when Pittsburgh is playing on one day of rest, particularly during summer months when fatigue accumulates and the team's developmental focus becomes more apparent. This trend carries the most weight when the Pirates face division rivals or teams fighting for playoff positioning, as the intensity gap becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as one day rest?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 79-89-0 when playing on one day of rest from 2014-2024. This represents a 47.0% ATS win rate over 168 games.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as one day rest profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates on one day rest is not profitable. The team has generated a -10.2% ROI over this period, meaning bettors would lose approximately 10 cents for every dollar wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Pirates' 47.0% ATS win rate on one day rest is below the expected 50% break-even point for spread betting. This underperformance suggests they consistently fail to cover the spread in this situation compared to typical league expectations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.