The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 378-81-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +57.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $263 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record378-81-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size459 games
ROI+57.2%
Units Won+262.6u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201439-4-00.0%+73.2%
201521-3-00.0%+67.0%
201639-10-00.0%+52.0%
201733-10-00.0%+46.5%
201834-8-00.0%+54.5%
201930-7-00.0%+54.8%
202044-4-00.0%+75.0%
202129-11-00.0%+38.4%
202240-7-00.0%+62.5%
202337-9-00.0%+53.6%
202432-8-00.0%+52.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pirates' exceptional primetime underdog performance stems from their organizational identity as scrappy underdogs who thrive when expectations are lowest. Pittsburgh has historically been built around fundamentally sound baseball - strong pitching depth, situational hitting, and veteran leadership that doesn't get rattled by big moments or hostile road environments. When the lights are brightest and the betting public fades them, the Pirates often play with house money mentality. Their success in this spot reflects a franchise culture that embraces the underdog role. Pittsburgh's roster construction typically features experienced players who've been overlooked elsewhere, creating a team chemistry that responds well to adversity. The primetime element works in their favor because these games often feature their opponents' ace pitchers, but the Pirates have consistently shown an ability to work deep counts and manufacture runs against elite arms through patient at-bats and timely hitting. The psychological edge cannot be understated - when a team knows the public expects them to lose, it can create a liberating effect where players perform without pressure. Bettors should target Pirates primetime underdog spots when they're facing division rivals or playoff contenders, as these matchups historically produce their most inspired performances. This trend carries maximum value when Pittsburgh enters these games healthy and with their regular rotation intact.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as primetime underdog?

The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 378-81-0 as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 0.0% win rate against the spread in primetime games where they were underdogs.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as primetime underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 57.2% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite their poor ATS record, the betting returns have been strong due to favorable odds as underdogs.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outpaces typical league averages, as most teams struggle to maintain positive ROI over extended periods. The 57.2% ROI is exceptionally high for any betting trend, making this one of the more profitable underdog situations in baseball.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.