Pittsburgh Pirates Medium Underdog (+3.5 to +7) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 119-30-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +52.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $78 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2015 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2016 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2017 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2018 | 14-2-0 | 0.0% | +67.0% |
| 2019 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2020 | 13-1-0 | 0.0% | +77.3% |
| 2021 | 10-4-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2022 | 9-4-0 | 0.0% | +32.2% |
| 2023 | 12-5-0 | 0.0% | +34.8% |
| 2024 | 12-2-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pittsburgh Pirates' exceptional performance as medium underdogs stems from their organizational identity as scrappy overachievers who thrive when expectations are manageable. This spread range typically occurs against quality opponents where the Pirates aren't completely outclassed but face enough respect from oddsmakers to create value. Pittsburgh's small-market mentality breeds a chip-on-the-shoulder approach that manifests most clearly when they're not expected to compete but aren't written off entirely. The Pirates have historically excelled at developing pitching depth and defensive fundamentals - two elements that travel well and keep games competitive regardless of offensive limitations. When facing better teams as medium underdogs, their pitching staff often rises to the occasion while their lineup finds ways to manufacture runs through situational hitting and aggressive baserunning. The psychological comfort of being underdogs without the pressure of huge spreads allows Pittsburgh to play loose and capitalize on opponents who might approach these games with less intensity. Bettors should target Pirates medium underdog spots when they're facing teams coming off emotional wins or during stretches where Pittsburgh's starting rotation is healthy. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and against National League contenders who may overlook the Pirates' gritty style.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an outstanding 119-30-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a dominant 79.9% ATS win rate over 149 games in this betting situation.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as medium underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 52.5% ROI. This exceptional return significantly outperforms typical sports betting expectations and represents one of the strongest trends in baseball.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 79.9% ATS win rate vastly exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The Pirates' 52.5% ROI in this spot is extraordinarily high compared to standard betting returns, making this one of the most profitable team-specific trends in baseball.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.