Pittsburgh Pirates Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 172-45-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +51.3% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $111 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-2-0 | 0.0% | +69.7% |
| 2015 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2016 | 17-7-0 | 0.0% | +35.2% |
| 2017 | 10-5-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2018 | 18-3-0 | 0.0% | +63.6% |
| 2019 | 12-4-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2020 | 22-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 16-5-0 | 0.0% | +45.5% |
| 2022 | 23-5-0 | 0.0% | +56.8% |
| 2023 | 15-6-0 | 0.0% | +36.4% |
| 2024 | 16-6-0 | 0.0% | +38.8% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' exceptional performance as home underdogs stems from a perfect storm of market inefficiency and organizational identity. Pittsburgh has consistently been undervalued by oddsmakers who focus heavily on payroll disparities and star power, overlooking the team's scrappy developmental culture that thrives when expectations are low. PNC Park's unique dimensions and atmospheric conditions create subtle advantages that casual bettors rarely factor into their assessments, while the Pirates' pitching staff has historically performed better in familiar surroundings against superior offensive lineups. The psychological element cannot be understated - Pittsburgh players have embraced the underdog mentality as part of their organizational DNA. When facing better teams at home, there's less pressure to perform and more freedom to play loose, aggressive baseball. The fanbase also tends to rally behind the team more enthusiastically when they're perceived as overmatched, creating an energy that translates to better execution in crucial moments. Sharp bettors should target Pirates home underdog spots when they're facing teams with inflated public perception, particularly high-payroll clubs or recent playoff contenders. This trend carries the most weight during interleague play and against divisional rivals where familiarity breeds competitive balance despite talent gaps.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as home underdog?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 172-45-0 as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 79.3% ATS win rate over 217 games.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 51.3% ROI. This exceptional return demonstrates consistent value when backing Pittsburgh in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly outperforms the league average, as most teams hover around 50% ATS. The Pirates' 79.3% ATS rate and 51.3% ROI as home underdogs represents one of the strongest betting trends in MLB.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.