Pittsburgh Pirates Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 73-83-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -10.7% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +10.7%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 8-8-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 4-7-0 | 0.0% | -30.6% |
| 2016 | 7-7-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 11-5-0 | 0.0% | +31.2% |
| 2018 | 3-9-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2019 | 7-4-0 | 0.0% | +21.5% |
| 2020 | 8-12-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2021 | 5-10-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2022 | 8-11-0 | 0.0% | -19.6% |
| 2023 | 8-2-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2024 | 4-8-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' struggles as road underdogs against division rivals stem from a perfect storm of psychological and strategic disadvantages that compound their already challenging position. Playing away from PNC Park removes the comfort of familiar surroundings while facing teams that know their tendencies intimately creates additional pressure. Division rivals have extensive scouting reports on Pittsburgh's pitching staff and hitting approach, making it easier to exploit weaknesses that might fool unfamiliar opponents. Pittsburgh's roster construction over this period has consistently featured young, developing players who lack the mental fortitude to handle hostile division road environments. The team's bullpen depth issues become magnified in these high-leverage divisional matchups, where managers are more likely to use their best relievers aggressively. The Pirates' offense has historically struggled against quality division pitching that has faced them multiple times per season, leading to predictable at-bat patterns. The organizational culture during much of this stretch emphasized development over winning, creating a mindset where players might not have the killer instinct needed in crucial divisional road spots. For bettors, this trend carries the most weight during the final month of the season when division rivals are fighting for playoff positioning and the Pirates are playing out the string.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 73-83-0 ATS record when playing away against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a 46.8% cover rate over 156 games.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as away vs division rival profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as away favorites against division rivals is not profitable. The team has generated a -10.7% ROI with a 0.0% win rate in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average of approximately 50% ATS. The Pirates' 46.8% cover rate and negative ROI indicate they consistently underperform expectations in division road games.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.