The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away underdog, the Pittsburgh Pirates hold a record of 206-36-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +62.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $151 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record206-36-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size242 games
ROI+62.5%
Units Won+151.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
201423-2-00.0%+75.6%
201514-1-00.0%+78.2%
201622-3-00.0%+68.0%
201723-5-00.0%+56.8%
201816-5-00.0%+45.5%
201918-3-00.0%+63.6%
202022-4-00.0%+61.5%
202113-6-00.0%+30.6%
202217-2-00.0%+70.8%
202322-3-00.0%+68.0%
202416-2-00.0%+69.7%

Why This Trend Exists

The Pirates' exceptional performance as away underdogs stems from a perfect storm of organizational culture and market perception. Pittsburgh has consistently operated as a small-market franchise that thrives when expectations are lowest, particularly on the road where they can play loose without home crowd pressure. Their developmental approach often features young, hungry players who perform better when given underdog status, as they have less to lose and everything to prove away from PNC Park. The betting market consistently undervalues Pittsburgh's road resilience, especially when they're catching plus money. Their organizational emphasis on fundamentals and situational baseball translates particularly well to hostile environments where execution matters more than talent gaps. The Pirates have historically fielded scrappy lineups that grind out at-bats and capitalize on opponent mistakes, traits that become magnified when oddsmakers dismiss them. Smart bettors should target Pirates road underdog spots when they're facing teams coming off emotional wins or in letdown situations. The combination of inflated opponent lines and Pittsburgh's proven road grit creates consistent value. This trend matters most during weekday road games against division rivals or teams on winning streaks, when public perception drives lines beyond the actual talent differential.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as away underdog?

The Pittsburgh Pirates have an ATS record of 206-36-0 as away underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents an exceptional 85.1% ATS win rate over this 10-year period.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as away underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as away underdogs has been extremely profitable with a 62.5% ROI. This means a $100 bet would have returned $62.50 in profit on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Pirates' 85.1% ATS rate as away underdogs is exceptionally high compared to typical MLB betting trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.