Pittsburgh Pirates After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Pirates in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Pittsburgh Pirates are just 202-244-2 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.5% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.5%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 16-16-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 7-17-1 | 0.0% | -44.3% |
| 2016 | 20-24-0 | 0.0% | -13.2% |
| 2017 | 17-20-0 | 0.0% | -12.3% |
| 2018 | 19-32-0 | 0.0% | -28.9% |
| 2019 | 16-19-1 | 0.0% | -12.7% |
| 2020 | 23-27-0 | 0.0% | -12.2% |
| 2021 | 17-26-0 | 0.0% | -24.5% |
| 2022 | 24-21-0 | 0.0% | +1.8% |
| 2023 | 23-11-0 | 0.0% | +29.1% |
| 2024 | 20-31-0 | 0.0% | -25.1% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Pirates' struggles following losses stem from a combination of organizational instability and roster construction that has plagued the franchise for nearly a decade. Pittsburgh has operated with one of baseball's lowest payrolls throughout this period, creating a roster filled with young, inexperienced players who lack the mental fortitude to bounce back quickly from defeats. When veteran leadership is scarce, teams often carry the emotional weight of losses longer, leading to compounded poor performances. The franchise's rebuilding approach has meant frequent roster turnover, preventing the development of consistent clubhouse chemistry and established response patterns after setbacks. Young pitching staffs, in particular, tend to overthink mechanics and approach following tough losses, while hitters often press at the plate trying to immediately rectify previous poor showings. This creates a snowball effect where the team's natural learning curve gets extended by emotional baggage. The psychological factor cannot be understated for a franchise that has endured decades of losing seasons. Players arrive knowing the organization's reputation, which can create a defeatist mentality that surfaces most prominently after disappointing performances. This trend carries the most weight early in seasons when new roster compositions are still finding their identity, and during crucial late-season stretches when playoff hopes hang in the balance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Pittsburgh Pirates's ATS record as after a loss?
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 202-244-2 ATS record when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 45.3% win rate against the spread in this situation.
Is betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Pittsburgh Pirates after a loss is not profitable. The strategy shows a -13.5% ROI over the 2014-2024 period, meaning bettors would lose $13.50 for every $100 wagered.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is significantly below the league average, as the Pirates fail to cover the spread 54.7% of the time after losses. Most teams perform closer to 50% ATS, making the Pirates particularly poor in bounce-back situations.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.