Philadelphia Phillies Small Underdog (+1 to +3) Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Philadelphia Phillies in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as small underdog (+1 to +3), the Philadelphia Phillies hold a record of 56-27-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +28.8% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $24 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2015 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2016 | 3-4-0 | 0.0% | -18.2% |
| 2017 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2018 | 6-4-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2019 | 6-3-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 4-4-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2022 | 6-2-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2023 | 5-3-0 | 0.0% | +19.3% |
| 2024 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' exceptional performance as small underdogs stems from their organizational DNA as a franchise that thrives when expectations are tempered. When oddsmakers price them at modest plus-money, it typically reflects legitimate concerns about their pitching depth or recent offensive struggles, yet these scenarios often coincide with Philadelphia's most focused efforts. This pattern emerges because small underdog spots frequently occur during divisional matchups where the Phillies possess superior familiarity with opposing pitching staffs, or in bounce-back scenarios following disappointing losses where their veteran leadership asserts itself. The franchise has historically recruited players who respond well to adversity, and these modest underdog lines often represent market overreactions to small sample size struggles rather than fundamental team flaws. Philadelphia's offensive approach becomes particularly effective in these spots because opposing pitchers and managers often game-plan as if they're facing a lesser opponent, leading to more aggressive strike-zone attacks that play directly into the Phillies' strength as a contact-heavy lineup that capitalizes on mistakes. The sweet spot for backing this trend occurs during mid-season divisional series when Philadelphia enters as slight underdogs despite recent strong underlying metrics, particularly when their bullpen has been rested for 48+ hours.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as small underdog (+1 to +3)?
The Philadelphia Phillies have an ATS record of 56-27-0 when playing as small underdogs (+1 to +3 points) from 2014-2024. This represents a 67.5% ATS win rate over 83 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as small underdog (+1 to +3) profitable?
Yes, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as small underdogs (+1 to +3) has been highly profitable with a 28.8% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 56-27 ATS record in this spot significantly outperforms typical betting expectations.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 67.5% ATS win rate substantially exceeds the league average, as most teams perform around 50% ATS in any given situation. The Phillies' 28.8% ROI as small underdogs represents exceptional value compared to typical betting outcomes.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.