Philadelphia Phillies Three or More Days Rest Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Philadelphia Phillies show mixed results as three or more days rest. Since 2014, they're 149-147-1 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of -3.9%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 13-12-0 | 0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2015 | 17-9-1 | 0.0% | +24.8% |
| 2016 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2017 | 13-13-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2018 | 19-13-0 | 0.0% | +13.3% |
| 2019 | 11-17-0 | 0.0% | -25.0% |
| 2020 | 11-19-0 | 0.0% | -30.0% |
| 2021 | 15-17-0 | 0.0% | -10.5% |
| 2022 | 11-12-0 | 0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2023 | 15-13-0 | 0.0% | +2.3% |
| 2024 | 13-10-0 | 0.0% | +7.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Phillies' mediocre performance with extended rest reflects the organization's historical struggles with roster depth and pitching rotation management. When Philadelphia gets three or more days off, they often face disrupted rhythm issues that plague teams lacking consistent veteran leadership and structured preparation routines. The franchise has cycled through numerous managers and coaching philosophies over this period, creating inconsistent approaches to handling extended breaks. Philadelphia's offensive identity relies heavily on momentum and aggressive hitting approaches that suffer when players lose their timing during layoffs. The team's power-heavy lineups historically struggle to manufacture runs when their swing mechanics get rusty, leading to feast-or-famine performances that make them difficult to predict from a betting perspective. Their bullpen volatility compounds this issue, as relief pitchers often lose sharpness during extended breaks. The coaching staff's game management decisions tend to be more experimental coming off long rests, particularly with lineup construction and pitching changes. This creates additional variance that sharp bettors can exploit by fading Philadelphia in spots where the market overvalues their talent level. This trend matters most during playoff races and season transitions when extended rest periods coincide with heightened pressure situations and roster uncertainty.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Philadelphia Phillies's ATS record as three or more days rest?
The Philadelphia Phillies have an ATS record of 149-147-1 when playing with three or more days rest from 2014-2024. This represents a nearly even split with a slight losing record against the spread.
Is betting on the Philadelphia Phillies as three or more days rest profitable?
No, betting on the Philadelphia Phillies with three or more days rest is not profitable, showing a -3.9% ROI over the 2014-2024 period. Despite the close ATS record, bettors would have lost money due to juice/vig.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance is slightly below average, as most teams typically perform around 50% ATS over large samples. The Phillies' 50.3% cover rate with extended rest suggests they may struggle to meet expectations in these situations.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.